← Smart money
0xf60a…80f4
ProfitableEdge
-10.6pp
ROI
+16%
Win rate
30% @ 40.2¢
Brier
0.256
Resolved
551
Avg size
$103
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 46% (33/71) | +15% | 71 |
| Other | 30% (8/27) | +28% | 27 |
- Sports71 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (33/71)
- ROI
- +15%
- Other27 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (8/27)
- ROI
- +28%
Track record
42% hit · 41/98- Yes$1.1k @ 38.0¢
- Steelers$900 @ 45.0¢
- Steelers$1.8k @ 60.0¢
- Yes$860 @ 43.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 43.0¢
- Yes$190 @ 19.0¢
- Rams vs. EaglesLostEagles$360 @ 36.0¢
- Chelsea FC$2 @ 20.0¢
- Celtics$1.0k @ 52.0¢
- Broncos$10 @ 23.0¢
- Saints$540 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$370 @ 24.7¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 57.0¢
- Commanders$700 @ 35.0¢
- No$130 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$180 @ 18.0¢
- Under$1.5k @ 49.0¢
- No$690 @ 46.0¢
- Hornets$1.5k @ 51.0¢
- Grizzlies$720 @ 48.0¢
- Celtics$210 @ 48.0¢
- No$400 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$150 @ 15.0¢
- MIA$240 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$62 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$220 @ 11.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 54.7¢
- Celtics$1.2k @ 27.4¢
- Packers$1.5k @ 50.0¢
- Grizzlies$2.1k @ 53.0¢
- Titans$420 @ 14.0¢
- Broncos$840 @ 42.0¢
- No$410 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$420 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$670 @ 67.0¢
- No$250 @ 25.0¢
- Hawks vs. MagicLostMagic$1.6k @ 54.0¢
- Bears$101 @ 45.0¢
- Heat$1.3k @ 52.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 52.0¢
- Real Madrid CF$570 @ 57.0¢
- Knicks$980 @ 49.0¢
- Magic$840 @ 42.0¢
- Broncos$780 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$300 @ 15.0¢
- Knicks$1.4k @ 36.0¢
- No$580 @ 58.0¢
- Packers$470 @ 47.0¢
- Commanders$340 @ 34.0¢
- No$870 @ 43.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons vs. 76ers | Sports | Pistons | $4.7k | 46.9¢ |
| Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Sports | Yes | $3.4k | 5.3¢ |
| Raptors vs. Timberwolves | Sports | Raptors | $2.0k | 40.0¢ |
| Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | Sports | Cavaliers | $1.8k | 48.2¢ |
| Steelers vs. Saints | Sports | Steelers | $1.8k | 60.0¢ |
| Wizards vs. Hornets | Sports | Hornets | $1.7k | 48.9¢ |
| Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Sports | Yes | $1.6k | 3.3¢ |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings | Sports | Grizzlies | $1.4k | 60.8¢ |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25? | Sports | No | $1.3k | 43.0¢ |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25? | Sports | Yes | $1.1k | 38.0¢ |
| Spread: Panthers (-2.5) | Sports | Buccaneers | $1.1k | 47.0¢ |
| Clippers vs. Thunder | Sports | Thunder | $1.0k | 84.0¢ |
| Lakers vs. Jazz | Sports | Lakers | $1.0k | 69.0¢ |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | Sports | Steelers | $900 | 45.0¢ |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25? | Sports | Yes | $860 | 43.0¢ |
| Magic vs. Knicks | Sports | Magic | $309 | 29.0¢ |
| Bulls vs. Celtics | Sports | Celtics | $268 | 84.7¢ |
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-25? | Sports | Yes | $190 | 19.0¢ |
| Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Sports | Yes | $16 | 0.2¢ |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | Sports | Hawks | $5 | 22.0¢ |
- Pistons vs. 76ersSportsPistons$4.7k @ 46.9¢
- Yes$3.4k @ 5.3¢
- Raptors vs. TimberwolvesSportsRaptors$2.0k @ 40.0¢
- Cavaliers$1.8k @ 48.2¢
- Steelers vs. SaintsSportsSteelers$1.8k @ 60.0¢
- Wizards vs. HornetsSportsHornets$1.7k @ 48.9¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 3.3¢
- Grizzlies vs. KingsSportsGrizzlies$1.4k @ 60.8¢
- No$1.3k @ 43.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 38.0¢
- Spread: Panthers (-2.5)SportsBuccaneers$1.1k @ 47.0¢
- Clippers vs. ThunderSportsThunder$1.0k @ 84.0¢
- Lakers vs. JazzSportsLakers$1.0k @ 69.0¢
- Spread: Steelers (-3.5)SportsSteelers$900 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$860 @ 43.0¢
- Magic vs. KnicksSportsMagic$309 @ 29.0¢
- Bulls vs. CelticsSportsCeltics$268 @ 84.7¢
- Yes$190 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 0.2¢
- Hawks vs. RocketsSportsHawks$5 @ 22.0¢