0xf5fd…3348

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf5fddbce23957217451b2517ab03744279123348
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.4pp

ROI

+97%

Win rate

22% @ 15.0¢

Brier

0.157

Resolved

241

Avg size

$26

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (10/21)	+63%	21
Sports	50% (9/18)	+105%	18
Tech	0% (0/5)	-100%	5

Other21 bets
Hit rate
48% (10/21)
ROI
+63%
Sports18 bets
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
ROI
+105%
Tech5 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%

Track record

43% hit · 19/44

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$486	29.8¢	Lost
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$107	15.3¢	Lost
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	$61	16.0¢	Lost
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	$14	6.9¢	Won
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$26	12.0¢	Lost
Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?	No	$190	19.0¢	Lost
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$5	2.1¢	Lost
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)	Egypt	$51	18.0¢	Lost
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	No	$100	20.0¢	Lost
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner	Ding	$150	29.3¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?	Yes	$16	3.1¢	Lost
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	Yes	$70	14.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$203	42.0¢	Won
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?	No	$102	6.5¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?	Yes	$54	54.0¢	Won
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.0k	58.6¢	Won
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	$120	27.3¢	Won
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 22-29?	Yes	$61	6.1¢	Lost
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$505	66.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$91	8.9¢	Lost
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$404	67.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$152	48.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?	Yes	$62	19.0¢	Won
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$57	1.5¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$200	26.0¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$100	19.6¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$212	13.8¢	Won
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?	No	$180	18.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	$51	30.0¢	Won
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?	No	$105	42.0¢	Lost
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	$10	2.0¢	Lost
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$150	15.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$507	54.0¢	Won
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$167	16.2¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	$87	26.1¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$60	39.0¢	Won
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?	Yes	$36	14.0¢	Lost
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?	Yes	$181	35.6¢	Won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)	Spain	$100	49.3¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	$81	4.6¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	No	$247	61.0¢	Won
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?	Yes	$208	29.2¢	Lost
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	$108	27.0¢	Lost
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Over	$102	51.0¢	Lost

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$486 @ 29.8¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$107 @ 15.3¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
No$61 @ 16.0¢
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Won
Yes$14 @ 6.9¢
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$26 @ 12.0¢
Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?Lost
No$190 @ 19.0¢
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.1¢
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)Lost
Egypt$51 @ 18.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?Lost
No$100 @ 20.0¢
World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerLost
Ding$150 @ 29.3¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?Lost
Yes$16 @ 3.1¢
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Lost
Yes$70 @ 14.0¢
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
Yes$203 @ 42.0¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Lost
No$102 @ 6.5¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?Won
Yes$54 @ 54.0¢
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 58.6¢
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Won
Yes$120 @ 27.3¢
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 22-29?Lost
Yes$61 @ 6.1¢
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$505 @ 66.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$91 @ 8.9¢
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$404 @ 67.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Lost
Yes$152 @ 48.0¢
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?Won
Yes$62 @ 19.0¢
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$57 @ 1.5¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$200 @ 26.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$100 @ 19.6¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$212 @ 13.8¢
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?Lost
No$180 @ 18.0¢
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Won
Yes$51 @ 30.0¢
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?Lost
No$105 @ 42.0¢
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.0¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$150 @ 15.0¢
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$507 @ 54.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$167 @ 16.2¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$87 @ 26.1¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Won
Yes$60 @ 39.0¢
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?Lost
Yes$36 @ 14.0¢
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?Won
Yes$181 @ 35.6¢
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Won
Spain$100 @ 49.3¢
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Won
Yes$81 @ 4.6¢
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Won
No$247 @ 61.0¢
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?Lost
Yes$208 @ 29.2¢
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Lost
No$108 @ 27.0¢
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$102 @ 51.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$486	29.8¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$107	15.3¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	Tech	No	$100	20.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$61	16.0¢
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$57	1.5¢
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$5	2.1¢

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$486 @ 29.8¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$107 @ 15.3¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?Tech
No$100 @ 20.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$61 @ 16.0¢
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$57 @ 1.5¢
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$5 @ 2.1¢