0xf5ef…7761

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf5ef27c9afa7c2f2453a21a6637ce01af7e17761
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.7pp

ROI

+20%

Win rate

59% @ 49.0¢

Brier

0.173

Resolved

155

Avg size

$51

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	59% (24/41)	-19%	41
Other	49% (18/37)	+23%	37
Politics	50% (1/2)	+48%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+28%	1

Sports41 bets
Hit rate
59% (24/41)
ROI
-19%
Other37 bets
Hit rate
49% (18/37)
ROI
+23%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+48%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+28%

Track record

54% hit · 44/81

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5	Under	$5	46.0¢	Won
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5	Over	$51	45.0¢	Won
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	$5	37.5¢	Lost
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$3	29.0¢	Won
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5	Under	$10	69.0¢	Won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5	Over	$132	37.5¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5	Over	$5	50.0¢	Lost
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5	Over	$5	20.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$40	63.0¢	Won
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)	Bosnia and Herzegovina	$14	41.0¢	Won
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	No	$10	66.5¢	Won
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	Yes	$48	25.4¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	$1	50.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$10	68.0¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$51	49.0¢	Won
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Won
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance	Canada	$10	67.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$1.0k	78.0¢	Won
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	$20	21.0¢	Lost
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	$493	37.8¢	Lost
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$4	22.0¢	Won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5	Over	$1	14.0¢	Lost
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$5	43.0¢	Lost
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$5	6.2¢	Lost
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5	Over	$202	62.9¢	Won
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$579	81.6¢	Won
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$14	14.0¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5	Over	$10	34.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance	Cabo Verde	$5	5.0¢	Lost
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5	Under	$303	62.0¢	Lost
Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	$26	47.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	$5	27.0¢	Lost
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5	Over	$3	56.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$5	44.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$336	84.0¢	Won
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	$31	10.5¢	Won
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	$5	66.0¢	Won
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 2.5	Over	$81	49.4¢	Won
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$10	49.0¢	Won
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	$10	43.0¢	Lost
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score	No	$20	59.0¢	Lost
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	$5	15.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	$5	12.0¢	Lost
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 0.5	Over	$5	80.0¢	Won
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$135	51.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Won
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	$3	22.0¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5	Over	$51	61.0¢	Won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5	Under	$20	62.7¢	Won

France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Won
Under$5 @ 46.0¢
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Won
Over$51 @ 45.0¢
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 37.5¢
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5Won
Under$10 @ 69.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Lost
Over$132 @ 37.5¢
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$5 @ 50.0¢
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Lost
Over$5 @ 20.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$40 @ 63.0¢
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Won
Bosnia and Herzegovina$14 @ 41.0¢
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?Won
No$10 @ 66.5¢
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Won
Yes$48 @ 25.4¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Won
No$1 @ 50.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$10 @ 68.0¢
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$51 @ 49.0¢
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Won
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceWon
Canada$10 @ 67.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$1.0k @ 78.0¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Lost
Yes$20 @ 21.0¢
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Lost
Yes$493 @ 37.8¢
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Won
Yes$4 @ 22.0¢
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5Lost
Over$1 @ 14.0¢
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$5 @ 43.0¢
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.2¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5Won
Over$202 @ 62.9¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Won
No$579 @ 81.6¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Lost
Yes$14 @ 14.0¢
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5Won
Over$10 @ 34.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceLost
Cabo Verde$5 @ 5.0¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$303 @ 62.0¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?Lost
No$26 @ 47.0¢
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Won
Over$3 @ 56.0¢
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$5 @ 44.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
No$336 @ 84.0¢
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Won
Yes$31 @ 10.5¢
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Won
Over$5 @ 66.0¢
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 2.5Won
Over$81 @ 49.4¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceWon
Switzerland$10 @ 49.0¢
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Lost
No$10 @ 43.0¢
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$20 @ 59.0¢
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?Lost
Yes$5 @ 12.0¢
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 0.5Won
Over$5 @ 80.0¢
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Lost
Yes$135 @ 51.0¢
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Won
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Lost
Yes$3 @ 22.0¢
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5Won
Over$51 @ 61.0¢
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5Won
Under$20 @ 62.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tech	No	$153	66.7¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Tech	No	$51	60.0¢
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Tech	Yes	$50	20.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Tech	No	$50	75.5¢
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$10	5.7¢

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
No$153 @ 66.7¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech
No$51 @ 60.0¢
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech
Yes$50 @ 20.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
No$50 @ 75.5¢
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics
Yes$10 @ 5.7¢