0xf587…de7f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf587336e20a90b58344231283c9b2c692d5fde7f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-10.8pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

57% @ 67.4¢

Brier

0.222

Resolved

106

Avg size

$93

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (38/69)	+23%	69
Sports	62% (8/13)	-11%	13
Politics	25% (1/4)	-72%	4
Tech	100% (2/2)	+40%	2
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other69 bets
Hit rate
55% (38/69)
ROI
+23%
Sports13 bets
Hit rate
62% (8/13)
ROI
-11%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-72%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+40%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

55% hit · 49/89

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$68	67.0¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$24	67.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 31?	No	$50	59.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	$40	21.6¢	Lost
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	No	$50	31.5¢	Lost
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$11	74.0¢	Won
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	ETH	$350	56.2¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$97	64.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?	Yes	$10	75.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 November 10-16?	No	$200	60.0¢	Lost
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?	No	$20	65.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?	No	$205	81.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$12	60.0¢	Won
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?	Yes	$10	82.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$88	88.0¢	Won
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?	No	$20	83.7¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?	No	$203	78.0¢	Won
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?	No	$140	70.2¢	Won
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-30?	No	$36	89.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$20	55.0¢	Won
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	$20	77.0¢	Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	Yes	$500	85.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 27?	No	$50	81.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	$122	81.2¢	Lost
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	$10	17.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	$30	69.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$31	62.0¢	Won
Will the government shutdown end November 16?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	No	$200	83.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?	No	$50	62.0¢	Lost
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?	No	$20	73.0¢	Won
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	Yes	$10	68.0¢	Won
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?	No	$10	53.0¢	Won
Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	Yes	$10	82.0¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	$10	69.0¢	Won
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	$30	73.0¢	Won
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	$20	66.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on September 26?	Yes	$30	82.6¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	No	$155	77.4¢	Won
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	$50	72.0¢	Lost
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?	Yes	$1	8.1¢	Lost
Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during remarks in NC on September 24?	Yes	$5	80.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	$159	79.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$376	64.7¢	Lost
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	$40	84.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	$30	86.0¢	Won
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$20	85.0¢	Won
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?	Yes	$10	76.0¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown end November 14?	Yes	$1	3.8¢	Lost
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-08?	Yes	$10	73.0¢	Won

Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$68 @ 67.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$24 @ 67.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 31?Lost
No$50 @ 59.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
No$40 @ 21.6¢
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Lost
No$50 @ 31.5¢
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$11 @ 74.0¢
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Lost
ETH$350 @ 56.2¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$97 @ 64.0¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?Won
Yes$10 @ 75.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 November 10-16?Lost
No$200 @ 60.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Lost
No$20 @ 65.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Won
No$205 @ 81.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$12 @ 60.0¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?Won
Yes$10 @ 82.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$88 @ 88.0¢
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?Lost
No$20 @ 83.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?Won
No$203 @ 78.0¢
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Won
No$140 @ 70.2¢
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-30?Won
No$36 @ 89.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Won
Yes$20 @ 55.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Lost
No$20 @ 77.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Won
Yes$500 @ 85.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 27?Won
No$50 @ 81.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Lost
No$122 @ 81.2¢
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Lost
Yes$10 @ 17.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Won
No$30 @ 69.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$31 @ 62.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Won
No$200 @ 83.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Lost
No$50 @ 62.0¢
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? Won
No$20 @ 73.0¢
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Won
Yes$10 @ 68.0¢
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?Won
No$10 @ 53.0¢
Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Lost
Yes$10 @ 82.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerWon
Gen.G$10 @ 69.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Won
Yes$30 @ 73.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Lost
No$20 @ 66.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on September 26?Lost
Yes$30 @ 82.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Won
No$155 @ 77.4¢
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$50 @ 72.0¢
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.1¢
Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during remarks in NC on September 24?Won
Yes$5 @ 80.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Won
No$159 @ 79.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$376 @ 64.7¢
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$40 @ 84.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Won
No$30 @ 86.0¢
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?Won
Yes$20 @ 85.0¢
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?Lost
Yes$10 @ 76.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.8¢
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-08?Won
Yes$10 @ 73.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$510	88.4¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$385	85.7¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$248	28.6¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Tech	No	$197	78.8¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$100	89.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$100	84.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$100	81.6¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$96	64.3¢
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$60	84.3¢
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?	Crypto	Yes	$60	86.3¢
Will Chainlink reach $24 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$56	65.6¢
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	No	$50	92.0¢
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$38	85.3¢
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$35	64.0¢
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17?	Sports	No	$35	94.0¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	No	$35	88.0¢
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$30	88.8¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	No	$30	90.0¢
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-09?	Sports	No	$25	88.0¢
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	32.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$20	47.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$20	34.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$20	55.0¢
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$16	80.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$10	75.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$10	67.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$10	31.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$10	27.0¢
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?	Politics	No	$3	91.0¢

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$510 @ 88.4¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech
No$385 @ 85.7¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$248 @ 28.6¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech
No$197 @ 78.8¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$100 @ 89.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$100 @ 84.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$100 @ 81.6¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech
No$96 @ 64.3¢
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$60 @ 84.3¢
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?Crypto
Yes$60 @ 86.3¢
Will Chainlink reach $24 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$56 @ 65.6¢
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-10?Sports
No$50 @ 92.0¢
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$38 @ 85.3¢
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$35 @ 64.0¢
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-17?Sports
No$35 @ 94.0¢
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-10?Sports
No$35 @ 88.0¢
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$30 @ 88.8¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10?Sports
No$30 @ 90.0¢
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-09?Sports
No$25 @ 88.0¢
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 32.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$20 @ 47.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$20 @ 34.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$20 @ 55.0¢
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$16 @ 80.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$10 @ 75.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$10 @ 67.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$10 @ 31.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$10 @ 27.0¢
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?Politics
No$3 @ 91.0¢