0xf584…2497

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf584a02f29eebbf66d6a38e1336be8490ff82497
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.9pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

22% @ 17.3¢

Brier

0.084

Resolved

824

Avg size

$20

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (63/152)	+22%	152
Sports	6% (1/16)	-12%	16
Politics	100% (1/1)	+61%	1

Other152 bets
Hit rate
41% (63/152)
ROI
+22%
Sports16 bets
Hit rate
6% (1/16)
ROI
-12%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+61%

Track record

38% hit · 65/169

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio Wardley	Fabio Wardley	$8	8.0¢	Lost
Will Real Betis Seville vs. AD Ceuta end in a draw?	No	$8	42.5¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)	Yousri Belgaroui	$6	55.0¢	Won
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?	No	$397	84.5¢	Won
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?	Yes	$37	0.2¢	Lost
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	No	$12	32.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)	Gillian Robertson	$40	39.7¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)	Rodolfo Vieira	$370	37.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)	Brad Tavares	$2	2.0¢	Lost
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	$25	1.4¢	Lost
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov	Makhmudov	$325	9.3¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Kavanagh	$55	55.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Moreno	$354	25.0¢	Lost
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	$57	1.3¢	Lost
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	$998	73.5¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Ethyn Ewing	$6	62.0¢	Won
Fight to Go the Distance?	No	$10	65.0¢	Won
Will Luke Fernandez win by KO or TKO?	No	$3	67.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)	Robert Ruchala	$73	6.9¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Steven Asplund	$4	62.0¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$97	47.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)	Njokuani	$9	4.0¢	Lost
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	Yes	$160	16.0¢	Won
UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)	Francisco Prado	$13	25.0¢	Lost
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Delija	$128	39.5¢	Lost
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$8	0.2¢	Lost
Shelton vs. Tirante: Match O/U 21.5	Under	$20	2.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Moura	$43	43.2¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$16	32.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$12	60.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Alex Morono vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)	Morono	$10	0.2¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)	Cháirez	$28	56.0¢	Won
Will David Skinns finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?	No	$11	54.0¢	Won
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	Yes	$26	33.0¢	Lost
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	$22	0.2¢	Lost
Will Manoel Sousa win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$23	78.0¢	Won
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	No	$12	79.0¢	Won
Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$83	83.1¢	Won
Fight to Go the Distance?	No	$8	78.0¢	Won
Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	$9	14.8¢	Won
Sao Leopoldo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	$798	24.1¢	Won
Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$13	0.1¢	Lost
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$11	0.1¢	Lost
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Fils	Andrea Pellegrino	$591	49.5¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)	Leavitt	$23	23.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Marcin Tybura	$27	2.5¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Prelims)	Dakota Hope	$103	51.7¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Prelims)	Kai Kamaka III	$23	46.0¢	Won

Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio WardleyLost
Fabio Wardley$8 @ 8.0¢
Will Real Betis Seville vs. AD Ceuta end in a draw?Lost
No$8 @ 42.5¢
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)Won
Yousri Belgaroui$6 @ 55.0¢
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?Won
No$397 @ 84.5¢
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$37 @ 0.2¢
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?Won
No$12 @ 32.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)Won
Gillian Robertson$40 @ 39.7¢
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)Lost
Rodolfo Vieira$370 @ 37.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)Lost
Brad Tavares$2 @ 2.0¢
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?Lost
Yes$25 @ 1.4¢
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek MakhmudovLost
Makhmudov$325 @ 9.3¢
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)Won
Kavanagh$55 @ 55.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Moreno$354 @ 25.0¢
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Lost
Yes$57 @ 1.3¢
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Won
Yes$998 @ 73.5¢
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)Won
Ethyn Ewing$6 @ 62.0¢
Fight to Go the Distance?Won
No$10 @ 65.0¢
Will Luke Fernandez win by KO or TKO?Won
No$3 @ 67.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Jose Delano vs. Robert Ruchala (Featherweight, Prelims)Lost
Robert Ruchala$73 @ 6.9¢
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)Lost
Steven Asplund$4 @ 62.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$97 @ 47.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)Lost
Njokuani$9 @ 4.0¢
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Won
Yes$160 @ 16.0¢
UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)Lost
Francisco Prado$13 @ 25.0¢
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
Delija$128 @ 39.5¢
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.2¢
Shelton vs. Tirante: Match O/U 21.5Lost
Under$20 @ 2.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)Lost
Moura$43 @ 43.2¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$16 @ 32.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
No$12 @ 60.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Alex Morono vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)Lost
Morono$10 @ 0.2¢
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)Won
Cháirez$28 @ 56.0¢
Will David Skinns finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?Won
No$11 @ 54.0¢
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$26 @ 33.0¢
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?Lost
Yes$22 @ 0.2¢
Will Manoel Sousa win by KO or TKO?Won
Yes$23 @ 78.0¢
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?Won
No$12 @ 79.0¢
Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$83 @ 83.1¢
Fight to Go the Distance?Won
No$8 @ 78.0¢
Will the fight be won by submission?Won
Yes$9 @ 14.8¢
Sao Leopoldo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Juan Manuel La SernaWon
Juan Manuel La Serna$798 @ 24.1¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$13 @ 0.1¢
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.1¢
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur FilsWon
Andrea Pellegrino$591 @ 49.5¢
UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle (Featherweight, Prelims)Won
Leavitt$23 @ 23.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)Lost
Marcin Tybura$27 @ 2.5¢
UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Prelims)Lost
Dakota Hope$103 @ 51.7¢
UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Prelims)Won
Kai Kamaka III$23 @ 46.0¢

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Sports	Yes	$1.7k	49.0¢
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Sports	Yes	$1.4k	27.5¢
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$923	2.5¢
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$63	0.8¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Politics	No	$32	79.0¢

Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Sports
Yes$1.7k @ 49.0¢
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Sports
Yes$1.4k @ 27.5¢
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$923 @ 2.5¢
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$63 @ 0.8¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics
No$32 @ 79.0¢