0xf579…9989

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf579036e211211ab1d5d944f1665c394d5959989
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.6pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

62% @ 59.8¢

Brier

0.180

Resolved

1807

Avg size

$193

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (175/362)	+8%	362
Sports	53% (51/96)	-3%	96
Politics	35% (7/20)	-40%	20
Tech	92% (11/12)	+21%	12
Crypto	40% (4/10)	+22%	10
Geopolitics	50% (4/8)	+23%	8
Economy	100% (4/4)	+55%	4
Business	100% (2/2)	+197%	2
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other362 bets
Hit rate
48% (175/362)
ROI
+8%
Sports96 bets
Hit rate
53% (51/96)
ROI
-3%
Politics20 bets
Hit rate
35% (7/20)
ROI
-40%
Tech12 bets
Hit rate
92% (11/12)
ROI
+21%
Crypto10 bets
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
ROI
+22%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
50% (4/8)
ROI
+23%
Economy4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+55%
Business2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+197%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

50% hit · 258/515

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 0.5	Over	$50	72.0¢	Won
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	$307	25.5¢	Lost
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	$2.5k	87.6¢	Won
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$51	53.0¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	No	$318	61.4¢	Won
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	TEAM VISION	$109	54.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$2.5k	81.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	$506	69.1¢	Won
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$50	67.0¢	Won
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5	Over	$25	64.0¢	Won
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals	Yes	$5	5.7¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$18	18.0¢	Lost
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$898	42.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5	Over	$25	76.5¢	Lost
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?	Yes	$9	9.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$52	27.7¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	$15	60.0¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?	Yes	$404	39.4¢	Won
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	88.0¢	Won
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	$12	28.9¢	Won
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	$16	5.5¢	Lost
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals	Yes	$26	40.0¢	Lost
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?	No	$218	16.3¢	Lost
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?	Yes	$818	86.6¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$736	18.3¢	Lost
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	$51	61.0¢	Won
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$998	85.5¢	Won
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$44	30.0¢	Lost
Sentio FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	$13	7.9¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	$54	53.0¢	Lost
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score	No	$51	57.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$6.8k	72.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.1k	71.7¢	Lost
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$51	47.0¢	Won
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.0k	29.0¢	Lost
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$31	47.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	$2	1.8¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage	GamerLegion	$17	13.2¢	Lost
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	$10	29.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?	Yes	$24	29.0¢	Won
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5	Over	$14	57.0¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$100	68.0¢	Lost
Harry Kane: 2+ goals	Yes	$10	16.0¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$1.1k	29.0¢	Lost
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winner	LYON	$62	19.1¢	Lost
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$31	39.0¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$103	5.4¢	Lost
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage	BoomBoys	$11	27.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$104	44.0¢	Won
Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	$22	6.9¢	Lost

Mexico vs. England: England O/U 0.5Won
Over$50 @ 72.0¢
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?Lost
No$307 @ 25.5¢
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 87.6¢
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$51 @ 53.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?Won
No$318 @ 61.4¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerLost
TEAM VISION$109 @ 54.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$2.5k @ 81.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Won
No$506 @ 69.1¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$50 @ 67.0¢
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5Won
Over$25 @ 64.0¢
Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsLost
Yes$5 @ 5.7¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Won
Yes$898 @ 42.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5Lost
Over$25 @ 76.5¢
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$52 @ 27.7¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$15 @ 60.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in June?Won
Yes$404 @ 39.4¢
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 88.0¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Won
No$12 @ 28.9¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Lost
Yes$16 @ 5.5¢
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$26 @ 40.0¢
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?Lost
No$218 @ 16.3¢
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?Won
Yes$818 @ 86.6¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$736 @ 18.3¢
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerWon
Team Spirit$51 @ 61.0¢
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$998 @ 85.5¢
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$44 @ 30.0¢
Sentio FDV above $200M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$13 @ 7.9¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
Alex Pereira$54 @ 53.0¢
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$51 @ 57.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$6.8k @ 72.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 71.7¢
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$51 @ 47.0¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 29.0¢
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$31 @ 47.0¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerLost
Team Liquid$2 @ 1.8¢
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group StageLost
GamerLegion$17 @ 13.2¢
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Won
Yes$10 @ 29.0¢
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?Won
Yes$24 @ 29.0¢
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Won
Over$14 @ 57.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
No$100 @ 68.0¢
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsLost
Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 29.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerLost
LYON$62 @ 19.1¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$31 @ 39.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$103 @ 5.4¢
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group StageLost
BoomBoys$11 @ 27.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Won
Yes$104 @ 44.0¢
Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$22 @ 6.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$2.5k	84.2¢
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$760	76.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$350	70.1¢
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$248	83.0¢
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$201	67.0¢
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Tech	Yes	$96	48.0¢
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$95	33.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$67	18.0¢
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$12	60.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$10	58.0¢

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy
Yes$2.5k @ 84.2¢
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$760 @ 76.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$350 @ 70.1¢
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$248 @ 83.0¢
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$201 @ 67.0¢
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Tech
Yes$96 @ 48.0¢
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$95 @ 33.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$67 @ 18.0¢
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$12 @ 60.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$10 @ 58.0¢