0xf567…3771

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf56764433ab063fc7ca593784c0cd8f079903771
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+26.7pp

ROI

+39%

Win rate

72% @ 45.2¢

Brier

0.229

Resolved

128

Avg size

$88

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	60% (18/30)	+57%	30
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other30 bets
Hit rate
60% (18/30)
ROI
+57%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

58% hit · 18/31

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump say "Mental institution" in Corpus Christi on Friday?	Yes	$365	45.4¢	Lost
Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?	No	$5	1.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 8)	Yes	$1.3k	66.4¢	Won
Khamenei seen in public by March 7?	Yes	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Biden" 6+ times in Corpus Christi on Friday?	Yes	$333	41.6¢	Won
Will Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?	No	$63	1.9¢	Lost
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?	Yes	$420	43.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "Central Casting" this week? (February 1)	No	$5	4.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Green New Scam" in Corpus Christi on Friday?	Yes	$102	60.7¢	Won
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	$1.3k	43.3¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$90	18.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Corpus Christi on Friday?	Yes	$871	69.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Witkoff" during the State of the Union address?	Yes	$19	50.0¢	Won
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?	No	$184	67.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 15)	No	$165	14.7¢	Won
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	$3.6k	57.7¢	Won
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?	No	$302	49.6¢	Won
Kristi Noem out by March 31?	No	$75	6.0¢	Lost
Will Trump denaturalize any citizen by June 30?	Yes	$132	88.0¢	Won
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?	No	$111	33.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during Taoiseach events?	Yes	$19	63.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech?	No	$258	64.7¢	Won
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?	Yes	$5	6.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during the State of the Union address?	Yes	$239	88.0¢	Won
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?	No	$490	66.8¢	Lost
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$22	21.7¢	Lost
Will Ryanair say "On-Time" or "On Time" during earnings call?	Yes	$13	3.5¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	$48	8.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Voter ID" or "VoterID" in Corpus Christi on Friday?	Yes	$27	70.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Alien" in Corpus Christi on Friday?	Yes	$305	74.0¢	Won
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	Yes	$374	32.9¢	Lost

Will Trump say "Mental institution" in Corpus Christi on Friday?Lost
Yes$365 @ 45.4¢
Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?Lost
No$5 @ 1.6¢
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 8)Won
Yes$1.3k @ 66.4¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 7?Lost
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Will Trump say "Biden" 6+ times in Corpus Christi on Friday?Won
Yes$333 @ 41.6¢
Will Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?Lost
No$63 @ 1.9¢
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?Won
Yes$420 @ 43.1¢
Will Trump say "Central Casting" this week? (February 1)Lost
No$5 @ 4.0¢
Will Trump say "Green New Scam" in Corpus Christi on Friday?Won
Yes$102 @ 60.7¢
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 43.3¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$90 @ 18.0¢
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Corpus Christi on Friday?Won
Yes$871 @ 69.8¢
Will Trump say "Witkoff" during the State of the Union address?Won
Yes$19 @ 50.0¢
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?Won
No$184 @ 67.0¢
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 15)Won
No$165 @ 14.7¢
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
No$3.6k @ 57.7¢
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Won
No$302 @ 49.6¢
Kristi Noem out by March 31?Lost
No$75 @ 6.0¢
Will Trump denaturalize any citizen by June 30?Won
Yes$132 @ 88.0¢
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?Lost
No$111 @ 33.9¢
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during Taoiseach events?Won
Yes$19 @ 63.0¢
Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech?Won
No$258 @ 64.7¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.6¢
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during the State of the Union address?Won
Yes$239 @ 88.0¢
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?Lost
No$490 @ 66.8¢
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$22 @ 21.7¢
Will Ryanair say "On-Time" or "On Time" during earnings call?Won
Yes$13 @ 3.5¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Lost
No$48 @ 8.0¢
Will Trump say "Voter ID" or "VoterID" in Corpus Christi on Friday?Won
Yes$27 @ 70.0¢
Will Trump say "Alien" in Corpus Christi on Friday?Won
Yes$305 @ 74.0¢
Will Trump visit China by March 31?Lost
Yes$374 @ 32.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Trump say "Mental institution" in Corpus Christi on Friday?	—	Yes	$365	45.4¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	—	No	$48	8.0¢
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	—	Yes	$22	21.7¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 7?	—	Yes	$6	6.0¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?	—	Yes	$5	6.6¢

Will Trump say "Mental institution" in Corpus Christi on Friday?—
Yes$365 @ 45.4¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?—
No$48 @ 8.0¢
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?—
Yes$22 @ 21.7¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 7?—
Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
Khamenei seen in public by March 14?—
Yes$5 @ 6.6¢