← Smart money
0xf525…008e
SharpEdge
+35.5pp
ROI
+34%
Win rate
94% @ 58.5¢
Brier
0.134
Resolved
50
Avg size
$288
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +50% | 1 |
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +50%
Track record
33% hit · 1/3| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | $12.9k | 66.8¢ | Won |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | $500 | 1.0¢ | Lost |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | $1.0k | 0.1¢ | Lost |
- No$12.9k @ 66.8¢
- No$500 @ 1.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 0.1¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $96 | 55.0¢ |
- Yes$96 @ 55.0¢