0xf51b…ca1b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.1pp

ROI

+36%

Win rate

30% @ 21.7¢

Brier

0.153

Resolved

493

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	30% (82/276)	+4%	276
Science	20% (22/108)	+29%	108
Politics	23% (3/13)	-32%	13
Sports	25% (1/4)	-59%	4

Other276 bets
Hit rate
30% (82/276)
ROI
+4%
Science108 bets
Hit rate
20% (22/108)
ROI
+29%
Politics13 bets
Hit rate
23% (3/13)
ROI
-32%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-59%

Track record

27% hit · 108/401

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?	No	$3	31.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	$8	67.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 29?	Yes	$4	9.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 27?	Yes	$2	3.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?	Yes	$16	15.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$4	49.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 1?	Yes	$3	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?	No	$3	31.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?	Yes	$12	58.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?	No	$9	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 28?	No	$2	31.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 29?	Yes	$9	4.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 27?	Yes	$4	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	$10	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 28?	Yes	$2	2.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?	No	$3	31.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?	Yes	$17	53.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 2?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 28?	No	$5	31.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 29?	Yes	$8	17.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?	No	$2	31.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	$29	61.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	$14	14.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?	Yes	$6	5.9¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on June 28?	Yes	$3	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	$8	33.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 30?	No	$20	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?	No	$2	31.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	$1	5.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	$1	8.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 29?	Yes	$10	20.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?	No	$3	31.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 29?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?	No	$9	38.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	$5	32.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	$11	6.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?	Yes	$13	46.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 27?	Yes	$3	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 30?	Yes	$1	4.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 2?	Yes	$1	10.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 27?	No	$4	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 2?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on July 1?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 27?	Yes	$30	83.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 30?	No	$3	72.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?	Yes	$9	11.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?	No	$6	38.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?	Yes	$13	22.6¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?Lost
No$3 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$8 @ 67.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$4 @ 9.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 27?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?Won
Yes$16 @ 15.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 49.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?Lost
No$3 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?Won
Yes$12 @ 58.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?Lost
No$9 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 28?Won
No$2 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$9 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 27?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$10 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?Won
No$3 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$17 @ 53.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 28?Won
No$5 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$8 @ 17.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?Lost
No$2 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?Won
Yes$29 @ 61.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?Won
Yes$14 @ 14.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$6 @ 5.9¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 29?Won
Yes$8 @ 33.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 30?Won
No$20 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?Won
No$2 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$10 @ 20.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?Lost
No$3 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?Lost
No$9 @ 38.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?Won
Yes$5 @ 32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$11 @ 6.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$13 @ 46.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 27?Lost
Yes$3 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 27?Won
No$4 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 27?Won
Yes$30 @ 83.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 30?Lost
No$3 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?Won
Yes$9 @ 11.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?Lost
No$6 @ 38.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 26?Won
Yes$13 @ 22.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$26	16.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 2?	—	Yes	$16	40.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$14	15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$14	28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$13	31.4¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$12	61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$12	11.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$10	7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 4?	—	Yes	$9	37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?	—	No	$8	36.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?	—	No	$8	36.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?	—	No	$8	26.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$8	50.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$8	28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$8	40.4¢
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$7	35.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 4?	—	Yes	$7	29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$7	53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$6	13.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 2?	—	No	$6	77.7¢
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$6	29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?	—	No	$6	67.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$6	21.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$6	3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 2?	—	Yes	$5	65.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$5	10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 2?	—	Yes	$5	60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$5	32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?	—	No	$4	9.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$4	13.9¢

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?—
Yes$26 @ 16.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 2?—
Yes$16 @ 40.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?—
Yes$14 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?—
Yes$14 @ 28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 3?—
Yes$13 @ 31.4¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics
Yes$12 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 2?—
Yes$12 @ 11.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 3?—
Yes$10 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 4?—
Yes$9 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?—
No$8 @ 36.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?—
No$8 @ 36.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?—
No$8 @ 26.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?—
Yes$8 @ 50.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 3?—
Yes$8 @ 28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?—
Yes$8 @ 40.4¢
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$7 @ 35.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 4?—
Yes$7 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?—
Yes$7 @ 53.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?—
Yes$6 @ 13.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 2?—
No$6 @ 77.7¢
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$6 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?—
No$6 @ 67.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 2?—
Yes$6 @ 21.7¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 2?—
Yes$6 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 2?—
Yes$5 @ 65.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 3?—
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 2?—
Yes$5 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 2?—
Yes$5 @ 32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 2?—
No$4 @ 9.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 2?—
Yes$4 @ 13.9¢