← Smart money
0xf4ee…e1ac
SharpEdge
+3.9pp
ROI
+7%
Win rate
58% @ 53.8¢
Brier
0.183
Resolved
755
Avg size
$31
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 60% (184/305) | +7% | 305 |
| Crypto | 87% (13/15) | +57% | 15 |
| Sports | 46% (6/13) | +1% | 13 |
| Politics | 45% (5/11) | -16% | 11 |
| Geopolitics | 33% (1/3) | -56% | 3 |
| Science | 50% (1/2) | -18% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other305 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (184/305)
- ROI
- +7%
- Crypto15 bets
- Hit rate
- 87% (13/15)
- ROI
- +57%
- Sports13 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (6/13)
- ROI
- +1%
- Politics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (5/11)
- ROI
- -16%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -56%
- Science2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -18%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
60% hit · 210/350- Yes$4 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 2.2¢
- No$10 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 6.4¢
- Yes$119 @ 59.5¢
- Yes$17 @ 83.8¢
- Yes$11 @ 55.0¢
- Knicks$25 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
- No$88 @ 80.4¢
- Yes$86 @ 85.7¢
- Over$20 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$123 @ 81.3¢
- Nuggets$100 @ 81.0¢
- No$1 @ 4.1¢
- No$662 @ 76.1¢
- No$34 @ 67.6¢
- Yes$73 @ 86.7¢
- Yes$70 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 60.0¢
- No$220 @ 87.9¢
- Yes$90 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$292 @ 70.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 82.0¢
- Nuggets$6 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 80.0¢
- No$6 @ 87.2¢
- No$10 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$129 @ 6.3¢
- Knicks$15 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 30.0¢
- Over$23 @ 76.0¢
- No$22 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$110 @ 61.5¢
- No$100 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 23.0¢
- No$5 @ 10.0¢
- Grizzlies$26 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 28.3¢
- Yes$50 @ 83.0¢
- Under$26 @ 73.0¢
- Suns$24 @ 54.0¢
- No$12 @ 61.0¢
- Nuggets$20 @ 66.0¢
- No$25 @ 50.0¢
- No$12 @ 48.2¢
- Yes$153 @ 54.1¢
- Kings$6 @ 56.0¢
- No$4 @ 79.0¢
- No$42 @ 42.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $136 | 68.0¢ |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? | Crypto | Yes | $116 | 87.0¢ |
| Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $81 | 24.8¢ |
| Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $26 | 51.2¢ |
| Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $23 | 10.0¢ |
| Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $23 | 6.8¢ |
| Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $14 | 5.5¢ |
| Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $13 | 13.0¢ |
- Yes$136 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$116 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$81 @ 24.8¢
- Yes$26 @ 51.2¢
- Yes$23 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$14 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$13 @ 13.0¢