0xf499…b5d9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf499ffe714952193c81b3965f65ae73df95cb5d9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.0pp

ROI

+17%

Win rate

67% @ 55.4¢

Brier

0.162

Resolved

227

Avg size

$504

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (15/31)	+8%	31
Sports	73% (11/15)	+67%	15
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other31 bets
Hit rate
48% (15/31)
ROI
+8%
Sports15 bets
Hit rate
73% (11/15)
ROI
+67%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

54% hit · 26/48

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 38.5	Under	$1.0k	53.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?	No	$90	70.0¢	Won
Colts vs. Chiefs	Colts	$500	41.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 February 23-March 1?	No	$400	50.7¢	Lost
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5	Under	$2.3k	53.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	No	$33.4k	62.8¢	Won
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Boston Red Sox	$511	56.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	No	$5.1k	51.0¢	Won
Spread: Texas Tech (-7.5)	Texas Tech	$1.0k	51.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Rodolfo Vieira (Middleweight, Main Card)	Rodolfo Vieira	$1.0k	62.0¢	Won
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers	New York Mets	$2.1k	48.7¢	Won
Spread: Florida (-14.5)	Florida	$832	41.6¢	Won
Oregon vs. USC	Oregon	$1000	55.0¢	Won
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	$2.5k	53.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	Yes	$1000	12.0¢	Lost
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	$1.0k	62.0¢	Won
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5	Under	$2.7k	56.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	$505	19.9¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 2-8?	No	$293	55.0¢	Lost
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)	Detroit Tigers	$2.1k	47.0¢	Won
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)	Northwestern	$368	47.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	No	$7.9k	78.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	$7.0k	52.1¢	Lost
1H Spread: Army (-3.5)	Army	$283	47.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 23-March 1?	No	$2.8k	72.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 24?	Yes	$1.1k	78.3¢	Won
Spread: Rams (-7.5)	Rams	$1000	49.0¢	Won
Northwestern vs. Indiana: O/U 39.5	Under	$1.0k	52.0¢	Lost
Falcons vs. Packers	Falcons	$300	69.0¢	Won
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels	Seattle Mariners	$1.0k	55.0¢	Won
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	$207	26.0¢	Lost
Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)	Jaguars	$2.0k	44.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 25?	Yes	$100	56.8¢	Lost
Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5	Over	$2.7k	51.0¢	Won
Broncos vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	$1.5k	55.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	No	$11.1k	47.3¢	Lost
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5	Under	$1.0k	47.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	Yes	$500	4.9¢	Lost
Northwestern vs. Indiana: O/U 35.5	Under	$1.1k	50.6¢	Lost
Spread: Mississippi State (-10.5)	Missouri	$980	49.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	$319	5.4¢	Lost
Ole Miss vs. Florida	Ole Miss	$487	22.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 23?	Yes	$496	83.0¢	Won
Spread: Florida (-11.5)	Florida	$3.1k	48.3¢	Won
Fresno State vs. San Jose State	San Jose State	$600	25.0¢	Lost
Spread: Indiana (-21.5)	Northwestern	$3.4k	57.5¢	Won
Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	$728	47.7¢	Won
LSU vs. Ole Miss	LSU	$3.2k	50.0¢	Lost

Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 38.5Lost
Under$1.0k @ 53.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?Won
No$90 @ 70.0¢
Colts vs. ChiefsLost
Colts$500 @ 41.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 February 23-March 1?Lost
No$400 @ 50.7¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Lost
Under$2.3k @ 53.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Won
No$33.4k @ 62.8¢
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Won
Boston Red Sox$511 @ 56.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?Won
No$5.1k @ 51.0¢
Spread: Texas Tech (-7.5)Lost
Texas Tech$1.0k @ 51.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Rodolfo Vieira (Middleweight, Main Card)Won
Rodolfo Vieira$1.0k @ 62.0¢
New York Mets vs. Texas RangersWon
New York Mets$2.1k @ 48.7¢
Spread: Florida (-14.5)Won
Florida$832 @ 41.6¢
Oregon vs. USCWon
Oregon$1000 @ 55.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit TigersWon
Detroit Tigers$2.5k @ 53.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?Lost
Yes$1000 @ 12.0¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesWon
Pittsburgh Pirates$1.0k @ 62.0¢
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Won
Under$2.7k @ 56.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$505 @ 19.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 2-8?Lost
No$293 @ 55.0¢
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Won
Detroit Tigers$2.1k @ 47.0¢
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)Won
Northwestern$368 @ 47.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?Won
No$7.9k @ 78.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?Lost
Yes$7.0k @ 52.1¢
1H Spread: Army (-3.5)Lost
Army$283 @ 47.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 23-March 1?Won
No$2.8k @ 72.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 24?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 78.3¢
Spread: Rams (-7.5)Won
Rams$1000 @ 49.0¢
Northwestern vs. Indiana: O/U 39.5Lost
Under$1.0k @ 52.0¢
Falcons vs. PackersWon
Falcons$300 @ 69.0¢
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles AngelsWon
Seattle Mariners$1.0k @ 55.0¢
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit TigersLost
Detroit Tigers$207 @ 26.0¢
Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Lost
Jaguars$2.0k @ 44.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 25?Lost
Yes$100 @ 56.8¢
Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5Won
Over$2.7k @ 51.0¢
Broncos vs. ChiefsWon
Chiefs$1.5k @ 55.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?Lost
No$11.1k @ 47.3¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Lost
Under$1.0k @ 47.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?Lost
Yes$500 @ 4.9¢
Northwestern vs. Indiana: O/U 35.5Lost
Under$1.1k @ 50.6¢
Spread: Mississippi State (-10.5)Won
Missouri$980 @ 49.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?Lost
Yes$319 @ 5.4¢
Ole Miss vs. FloridaLost
Ole Miss$487 @ 22.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 23?Won
Yes$496 @ 83.0¢
Spread: Florida (-11.5)Won
Florida$3.1k @ 48.3¢
Fresno State vs. San Jose StateLost
San Jose State$600 @ 25.0¢
Spread: Indiana (-21.5)Won
Northwestern$3.4k @ 57.5¢
Browns vs. BuccaneersWon
Browns$728 @ 47.7¢
LSU vs. Ole MissLost
LSU$3.2k @ 50.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$5.5k	32.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$3.4k	19.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$4	45.0¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$5.5k @ 32.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$3.4k @ 19.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$4 @ 45.0¢