← Smart money
0xf330…f779
SharpEdge
-6.8pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
27% @ 33.8¢
Brier
0.170
Resolved
377
Avg size
$373
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 36% (43/118) | +13% | 118 |
| Politics | 27% (3/11) | -31% | 11 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other118 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (43/118)
- ROI
- +13%
- Politics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 27% (3/11)
- ROI
- -31%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
35% hit · 46/133- Capitals$100 @ 46.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$10.0k @ 88.8¢
- No$20 @ 12.0¢
- No$110 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$350 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 5.5¢
- Stars vs. JetsLostJets$300 @ 49.0¢
- No$437 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 13.0¢
- Nurmagomedov$17 @ 72.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 74.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 33.8¢
- Yes$39 @ 89.0¢
- No$600 @ 51.0¢
- Lightning$12 @ 66.0¢
- No$3.2k @ 30.6¢
- Yes$20.0k @ 62.3¢
- Oilers$100 @ 45.0¢
- Islanders$30 @ 54.7¢
- Yes$50 @ 7.8¢
- No$607 @ 86.8¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 24.0¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 42.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 30.9¢
- Yes$259 @ 36.5¢
- Canucks$57 @ 80.0¢
- Oilers$49 @ 40.7¢
- Jets vs. OilersLostOilers$35 @ 46.7¢
- 49ers$500 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$256 @ 44.5¢
- Yes$348 @ 50.9¢
- Yes$25 @ 8.0¢
- Red Wings$27 @ 61.4¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 47.4¢
- No$1.2k @ 84.0¢
- Yes$286 @ 31.2¢
- No$3.0k @ 23.4¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 13.6¢
- No$241 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$975 @ 55.7¢
- No$4.8k @ 60.5¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 52.9¢
- Sabres$14 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$123 @ 34.8¢
- Yes$500 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$661 @ 44.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Politics | Yes | $2.6k | 35.0¢ |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Politics | Yes | $1.8k | 94.6¢ |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $798 | 1.8¢ |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $155 | 22.9¢ |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $46 | 1.1¢ |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $19 | 7.0¢ |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.8¢ |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 1.7¢ |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.7¢ |
- Yes$2.6k @ 35.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 94.6¢
- Yes$798 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$155 @ 22.9¢
- Yes$46 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$19 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.7¢