0xf30c…ddfb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf30c077e30ff727bec6c483ed118d33f4032ddfb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.5pp

ROI

+17%

Win rate

73% @ 66.8¢

Brier

0.154

Resolved

738

Avg size

$139

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	71% (173/244)	+17%	244
Sports	29% (4/14)	-8%	14
Crypto	67% (2/3)	-39%	3
Politics	50% (1/2)	-26%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+23%	1

Other244 bets
Hit rate
71% (173/244)
ROI
+17%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
29% (4/14)
ROI
-8%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-39%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-26%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+23%

Track record

69% hit · 181/264

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	$284	94.0¢	Won
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$3	18.0¢	Lost
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?	No	$100	87.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?	No	$890	89.0¢	Won
Will XRP reach $3.40 by February 28 2025?	No	$440	88.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in October?	No	$174	87.0¢	Won
Will China win the 3rd most medals?	Yes	$10	4.2¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$3	14.0¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $240 in October?	No	$1.7k	86.0¢	Won
Ethereum above $2,000 on April 4?	No	$430	86.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$215	86.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?	No	$840	84.0¢	Won
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$114	75.0¢	Won
Circle IPO in 2025?	Yes	$14	68.0¢	Won
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?	No	$100	87.0¢	Won
ETHBTC above 0.04 on September 30?	Yes	$19	74.0¢	Won
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?	No	$210	84.0¢	Won
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Nothing Ever Happens	Yes	$31	62.0¢	Won
Ethereum all time high before 2026?	No	$1.2k	82.6¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9?	No	$81	63.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Mar 28?	No	$74	74.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?	No	$320	79.9¢	Lost
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Japanese GP?	Yes	$136	73.0¢	Won
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?	No	$83	83.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?	No	$335	67.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 2?	No	$355	89.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	No	$785	78.5¢	Lost
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?	Yes	$51	3.4¢	Lost
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5	Over	$29	57.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?	No	$223	89.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Secret Service" during RNC speech?	Yes	$100	81.0¢	Won
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?	No	$25	48.0¢	Lost
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$40	80.0¢	Won
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on December 19?	No	$210	83.9¢	Won
Will XRP reach $2.50 in April?	No	$335	78.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?	No	$69	69.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	Yes	$638	85.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?	No	$486	81.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$25	49.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?	No	$1.4k	77.1¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?	No	$358	71.7¢	Won
Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?	Yes	$450	74.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	No	$440	88.0¢	Won
Ripple above $2.30 on March 21?	Yes	$64	64.0¢	Won
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?	Yes	$132	44.0¢	Won
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	No	$395	79.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?	No	$1.2k	82.0¢	Won
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?	Yes	$200	5.5¢	Lost
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO3)	Team Liquid	$50	78.0¢	Won

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Won
Yes$284 @ 94.0¢
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$3 @ 18.0¢
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Lost
No$100 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Won
No$890 @ 89.0¢
Will XRP reach $3.40 by February 28 2025?Won
No$440 @ 88.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in October?Won
No$174 @ 87.0¢
Will China win the 3rd most medals?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.2¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$3 @ 14.0¢
Will Solana reach $240 in October?Won
No$1.7k @ 86.0¢
Ethereum above $2,000 on April 4?Won
No$430 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$215 @ 86.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?Won
No$840 @ 84.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$114 @ 75.0¢
Circle IPO in 2025?Won
Yes$14 @ 68.0¢
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?Won
No$100 @ 87.0¢
ETHBTC above 0.04 on September 30?Won
Yes$19 @ 74.0¢
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Won
No$210 @ 84.0¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Nothing Ever Happens Won
Yes$31 @ 62.0¢
Ethereum all time high before 2026?Lost
No$1.2k @ 82.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 August 3-9?Won
No$81 @ 63.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Mar 28?Won
No$74 @ 74.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?Lost
No$320 @ 79.9¢
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Japanese GP?Won
Yes$136 @ 73.0¢
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?Won
No$83 @ 83.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?Won
No$335 @ 67.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 2?Won
No$355 @ 89.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Lost
No$785 @ 78.5¢
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$51 @ 3.4¢
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$29 @ 57.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?Won
No$223 @ 89.0¢
Will Trump say "Secret Service" during RNC speech?Won
Yes$100 @ 81.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?Lost
No$25 @ 48.0¢
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$40 @ 80.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on December 19?Won
No$210 @ 83.9¢
Will XRP reach $2.50 in April?Won
No$335 @ 78.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?Won
No$69 @ 69.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?Lost
Yes$638 @ 85.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?Won
No$486 @ 81.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$25 @ 49.0¢
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?Lost
No$1.4k @ 77.1¢
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?Won
No$358 @ 71.7¢
Bitcoin above $60,000 on October 1?Won
Yes$450 @ 74.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Won
No$440 @ 88.0¢
Ripple above $2.30 on March 21?Won
Yes$64 @ 64.0¢
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? Won
Yes$132 @ 44.0¢
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?Lost
No$395 @ 79.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?Won
No$1.2k @ 82.0¢
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Lost
Yes$200 @ 5.5¢
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO3)Won
Team Liquid$50 @ 78.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 in November?	Business	No	$440	87.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in November?	Crypto	No	$250	91.0¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?	Crypto	No	$210	84.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$189	82.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tech	Yes	$173	69.0¢
Will the D66–VVD–CDA Dutch coalition break in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$127	85.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$97	87.0¢
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$40	15.9¢

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 in November?Business
No$440 @ 87.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in November?Crypto
No$250 @ 91.0¢
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?Crypto
No$210 @ 84.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$189 @ 82.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
Yes$173 @ 69.0¢
Will the D66–VVD–CDA Dutch coalition break in 2026?Politics
Yes$127 @ 85.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$97 @ 87.0¢
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Politics
Yes$40 @ 15.9¢