0xf2e9…cf93

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf2e9b01baa81e5559c3ee1dfe00c5c0787a1cf93
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.9pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

78% @ 62.8¢

Brier

0.094

Resolved

139

Avg size

$608

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	54% (7/13)	+169%	13
Other	69% (9/13)	+22%	13
Tech	100% (5/5)	+31%	5
Politics	33% (1/3)	-61%	3
Economy	100% (1/1)	+26%	1

Sports13 bets
Hit rate
54% (7/13)
ROI
+169%
Other13 bets
Hit rate
69% (9/13)
ROI
+22%
Tech5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+31%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-61%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+26%

Track record

66% hit · 23/35

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$202	64.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$121	60.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$264	13.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.5k	25.0¢	Lost
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes	$265	53.0¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Netherlands	$304	60.0¢	Lost
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$148	59.0¢	Won
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?	Yes	$45.0k	80.3¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$5.7k	72.1¢	Won
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	$734	66.5¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$293	39.0¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$352	58.0¢	Won
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	Over	$103	51.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$616	12.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	Argentina	$566	70.1¢	Won
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	$2.3k	80.9¢	Won
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	$107	53.0¢	Lost
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	$145	71.6¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$281	18.0¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance	Portugal	$215	71.0¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$1.4k	69.5¢	Won
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance	Mexico	$234	46.0¢	Lost
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$103	51.0¢	Lost
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$154	77.0¢	Won
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	$361	47.9¢	Lost
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5	Over	$218	72.0¢	Won
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	No	$10.0k	83.7¢	Won
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5	Over	$159	79.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	$520	79.1¢	Won
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	$8.1k	80.3¢	Won
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5	Under	$304	60.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$1.3k	85.7¢	Won
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$130	51.1¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$94	37.0¢	Lost
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$261	51.0¢	Won

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$202 @ 64.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$121 @ 60.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$264 @ 13.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$3.5k @ 25.0¢
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Won
Yes$265 @ 53.0¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceLost
Netherlands$304 @ 60.0¢
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$148 @ 59.0¢
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Won
Yes$45.0k @ 80.3¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Won
Yes$5.7k @ 72.1¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Won
Yes$734 @ 66.5¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$293 @ 39.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$352 @ 58.0¢
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Won
Over$103 @ 51.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$616 @ 12.0¢
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$566 @ 70.1¢
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?Won
Yes$2.3k @ 80.9¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Lost
Yes$107 @ 53.0¢
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Won
Yes$145 @ 71.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$281 @ 18.0¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceWon
Portugal$215 @ 71.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$1.4k @ 69.5¢
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceLost
Mexico$234 @ 46.0¢
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$103 @ 51.0¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Won
France$154 @ 77.0¢
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$361 @ 47.9¢
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Won
Over$218 @ 72.0¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Won
No$10.0k @ 83.7¢
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$159 @ 79.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Won
Yes$520 @ 79.1¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Won
Yes$8.1k @ 80.3¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Won
Under$304 @ 60.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 85.7¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Lost
Yes$130 @ 51.1¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$94 @ 37.0¢
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$261 @ 51.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$509	77.2¢
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$398	66.9¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$270	92.0¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Tech	No	$251	85.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	No	$236	84.7¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	No	$58	85.1¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$54	90.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Politics	No	$50	83.0¢

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$509 @ 77.2¢
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$398 @ 66.9¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
No$270 @ 92.0¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech
No$251 @ 85.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
No$236 @ 84.7¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
No$58 @ 85.1¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$54 @ 90.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics
No$50 @ 83.0¢