0xf2ca…b467

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf2cae58953c73cb722ba70ab694d3779b6e4b467
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.4pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

68% @ 59.5¢

Brier

0.198

Resolved

355

Avg size

$416

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	67% (85/127)	+12%	127
Sports	38% (6/16)	+25%	16
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other127 bets
Hit rate
67% (85/127)
ROI
+12%
Sports16 bets
Hit rate
38% (6/16)
ROI
+25%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

63% hit · 91/144

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	$1.5k	77.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Vitality	$2.0k	76.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A	FURIA	$366	66.0¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$298	2.6¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B	Spirit	$781	71.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	9z	$237	59.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	$600	67.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	$407	66.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Team Falcons	$208	52.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	$803	80.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5.9k	8.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage	Astralis	$247	39.0¢	Lost
Will Kamala say "abortion" at debate?	Yes	$890	89.0¢	Won
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)	Natus Vincere	$487	69.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	FURIA	$294	49.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)	Spirit	$2.5k	82.4¢	Won
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)	PARIVISION	$500	80.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	No	$1.6k	85.2¢	Won
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	9z	$376	62.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3.5k	5.3¢	Lost
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	$8.1k	54.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)	Aurora Gaming	$276	69.0¢	Lost
Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?	Yes	$340	34.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs	Team Falcons	$2.1k	60.0¢	Won
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$570	5.5¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs	Vitality	$1.4k	67.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)	MOUZ	$460	76.6¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	$300	66.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A	Team Falcons	$385	77.0¢	Won
Will Joey Chestnut eat 65 or more Hot Dogs?	Yes	$67	33.7¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	$645	53.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	$532	76.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?	No	$336	56.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Astralis	$430	71.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5.7k	8.7¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	Team Falcons	$206	39.3¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage	Natus Vincere	$400	59.0¢	Lost
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?	No	$1.1k	88.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)	Vitality	$1000	79.0¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$7.2k	10.9¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$214	1.6¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs	FURIA	$1.3k	66.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A	Spirit	$2.2k	86.9¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	$200	22.5¢	Won
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs	MOUZ	$300	54.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Astralis	$300	49.9¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Natus Vincere	$900	60.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Vitality	$3.0k	75.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	$477	39.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$7.2k	10.9¢	Lost

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsWon
Vitality$1.5k @ 77.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio PlayoffsWon
Vitality$2.0k @ 76.0¢
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group AWon
FURIA$366 @ 66.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$298 @ 2.6¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BLost
Spirit$781 @ 71.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
9z$237 @ 59.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerWon
FURIA$600 @ 67.0¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerWon
MOUZ$407 @ 66.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AWon
Team Falcons$208 @ 52.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageWon
Team Falcons$803 @ 80.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5.9k @ 8.9¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageLost
Astralis$247 @ 39.0¢
Will Kamala say "abortion" at debate?Won
Yes$890 @ 89.0¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Lost
Natus Vincere$487 @ 69.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BWon
FURIA$294 @ 49.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)Won
Spirit$2.5k @ 82.4¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)Won
PARIVISION$500 @ 80.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Won
No$1.6k @ 85.2¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsLost
9z$376 @ 62.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$3.5k @ 5.3¢
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$8.1k @ 54.9¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)Lost
Aurora Gaming$276 @ 69.0¢
Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?Lost
Yes$340 @ 34.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsWon
Team Falcons$2.1k @ 60.0¢
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Lost
No$570 @ 5.5¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsWon
Vitality$1.4k @ 67.0¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)Won
MOUZ$460 @ 76.6¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerLost
FURIA$300 @ 66.0¢
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group AWon
Team Falcons$385 @ 77.0¢
Will Joey Chestnut eat 65 or more Hot Dogs?Won
Yes$67 @ 33.7¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsWon
Team Falcons$645 @ 53.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerWon
Spirit$532 @ 76.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?Lost
No$336 @ 56.0¢
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BWon
Astralis$430 @ 71.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5.7k @ 8.7¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLost
Team Falcons$206 @ 39.3¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageLost
Natus Vincere$400 @ 59.0¢
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?Won
No$1.1k @ 88.0¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)Won
Vitality$1000 @ 79.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$7.2k @ 10.9¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$214 @ 1.6¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsWon
FURIA$1.3k @ 66.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AWon
Spirit$2.2k @ 86.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerWon
TheMongolz$200 @ 22.5¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsLost
MOUZ$300 @ 54.0¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsLost
Astralis$300 @ 49.9¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsWon
Natus Vincere$900 @ 60.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsWon
Vitality$3.0k @ 75.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana PlayoffsLost
Team Falcons$477 @ 39.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$7.2k @ 10.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Sports	Vitality	$1.5k	77.0¢
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	Sports	Yes	$200	48.0¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$117	28.0¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsSports
Vitality$1.5k @ 77.0¢
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Sports
Yes$200 @ 48.0¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$117 @ 28.0¢