0xf2c8…5cf2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf2c85c5eb7d753f2525e1f0442d5643f76025cf2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.8pp

ROI

+126%

Win rate

21% @ 11.9¢

Brier

0.152

Resolved

164

Avg size

$49

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	7% (6/87)	+134%	87
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other87 bets
Hit rate
7% (6/87)
ROI
+134%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

7% hit · 6/92

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	$10	10.7¢	Lost
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	No	$2	0.9¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	$3	4.3¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.9¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Wizards	Wizards	$5	0.2¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$20	0.4¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 be released on February 27, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$5	1.6¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?	Yes	$150	53.2¢	Lost
Will Coinbase say "Web3" during earnings call?	Yes	$6	2.8¢	Lost
Will Coinbase say "Blockchain" during earnings call?	Yes	$2	1.8¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 be released on February 28, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?	No	$3	15.0¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Bucks	Bucks	$3	1.5¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$3	2.7¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 be released on February 18, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.5¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 be released on February 26, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.2¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	$2	2.5¢	Lost
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines	Connecticut Huskies	$190	27.0¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 be released on February 21, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.5¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 be released on February 24, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	$5	0.6¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$13	0.1¢	Lost
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets	Hurricanes	$21	0.4¢	Lost
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Lost
Government shutdown on Saturday?	No	$171	4.4¢	Won
Government shutdown on Saturday?	Yes	$191	16.3¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Warriors	Warriors	$80	8.0¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 be released on February 19, 2026?	Yes	$1	2.7¢	Lost
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 17-23?	No	$30	17.7¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$66	0.1¢	Lost
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?	No	$5	0.3¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	$12	0.1¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	$291	24.8¢	Won
Will Claude 5 be released on February 22, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 be released on February 17, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?	Yes	$592	9.0¢	Won
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?	Yes	$36	13.7¢	Won
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	Yes	$102	2.9¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 be released on February 20, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.1¢	Lost
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?	No	$43	32.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	$2	2.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	$5	0.2¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$25	7.2¢	Lost
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$282	5.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	Yes	$2	1.2¢	Lost

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETLost
Down$6 @ 6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETLost
Down$10 @ 10.7¢
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Lost
No$2 @ 0.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETLost
Up$3 @ 4.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
Pistons vs. WizardsLost
Wizards$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
No$20 @ 0.4¢
Will Claude 5 be released on February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.6¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?Lost
Yes$150 @ 53.2¢
Will Coinbase say "Web3" during earnings call?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.8¢
Will Coinbase say "Blockchain" during earnings call?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
Will Claude 5 be released on February 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$3 @ 15.0¢
Cavaliers vs. BucksLost
Bucks$3 @ 1.5¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
Will Claude 5 be released on February 18, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
Will Claude 5 be released on February 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.2¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.5¢
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan WolverinesLost
Connecticut Huskies$190 @ 27.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released on February 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.5¢
Will Claude 5 be released on February 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.6¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
No$13 @ 0.1¢
Hurricanes vs. Blue JacketsLost
Hurricanes$21 @ 0.4¢
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Won
No$171 @ 4.4¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Lost
Yes$191 @ 16.3¢
Timberwolves vs. WarriorsLost
Warriors$80 @ 8.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released on February 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.7¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 17-23?Lost
No$30 @ 17.7¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$66 @ 0.1¢
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?Lost
No$5 @ 0.3¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Lost
No$12 @ 0.1¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?Won
Yes$291 @ 24.8¢
Will Claude 5 be released on February 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Claude 5 be released on February 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?Won
Yes$592 @ 9.0¢
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?Won
Yes$36 @ 13.7¢
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?Lost
Yes$102 @ 2.9¢
Will Claude 5 be released on February 20, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.1¢
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?Lost
No$43 @ 32.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?Lost
Yes$25 @ 7.2¢
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Lost
Yes$282 @ 5.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Lakers vs. Thunder	—	Lakers	$340	25.6¢
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines	—	Connecticut Huskies	$190	27.6¢
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?	—	Yes	$99	2.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	—	Down	$10	10.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	—	Down	$6	6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	—	Up	$3	4.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.1¢
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$2	0.9¢

Lakers vs. Thunder—
Lakers$340 @ 25.6¢
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines—
Connecticut Huskies$190 @ 27.6¢
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?—
Yes$99 @ 2.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET—
Down$10 @ 10.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET—
Down$6 @ 6.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET—
Up$3 @ 4.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Geopolitics
No$2 @ 0.9¢