← Smart money
0xf294…7967
SharpEdge
+1.8pp
ROI
+15%
Win rate
13% @ 11.2¢
Brier
0.064
Resolved
1177
Avg size
$14
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 14% (6/43) | -10% | 43 |
| Other | 23% (5/22) | +71% | 22 |
| Tech | 36% (4/11) | +1% | 11 |
| Culture | 36% (4/11) | -28% | 11 |
| Politics | 20% (1/5) | -93% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Business | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Sports43 bets
- Hit rate
- 14% (6/43)
- ROI
- -10%
- Other22 bets
- Hit rate
- 23% (5/22)
- ROI
- +71%
- Tech11 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (4/11)
- ROI
- +1%
- Culture11 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (4/11)
- ROI
- -28%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- -93%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
21% hit · 20/95- Yes$121 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$35 @ 17.5¢
- Yes$728 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$7 @ 3.3¢
- Matteo Arnaldi$9 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$45 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$179 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$81 @ 80.0¢
- Juncheng Shang$45 @ 7.5¢
- Yes$14 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$712 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
- Rams$720 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$981 @ 20.8¢
- Yes$111 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$22 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$68 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$142 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$75 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 1.6¢
- No$34 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 83.6¢
- Yes$77 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$113 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$35 @ 1.8¢
- No$66 @ 72.8¢
- Yes$22 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$311 @ 15.5¢
- Yes$80 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$129 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 6.9¢
- Yes$421 @ 2.6¢
- No$83 @ 69.0¢
- No$7 @ 17.0¢
- No$74 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$21 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$112 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 5.0¢
- No$81 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$62 @ 20.7¢
- Yes$145 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$36 @ 1.6¢
- No$1.5k @ 25.3¢
- Yes$35 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$87 @ 1.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$669 @ 92.9¢
- Yes$651 @ 25.6¢
- Yes$570 @ 56.1¢
- Yes$566 @ 87.4¢
- Yes$545 @ 52.5¢
- Yes$498 @ 76.6¢
- Yes$267 @ 59.0¢
- Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?CultureYes$257 @ 85.3¢
- Yes$255 @ 86.1¢
- Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$252 @ 61.6¢
- Yes$213 @ 85.0¢
- No$198 @ 98.9¢
- Yes$192 @ 52.8¢
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$192 @ 95.9¢
- Yes$190 @ 89.9¢
- Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$163 @ 57.5¢
- No$159 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$158 @ 15.4¢
- Yes$151 @ 40.6¢
- No$144 @ 77.5¢
- No$139 @ 92.3¢
- Yes$137 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$135 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$130 @ 53.4¢
- No$124 @ 92.2¢
- Yes$120 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$116 @ 13.7¢
- Yes$114 @ 81.7¢
- Yes$111 @ 90.9¢
- Yes$110 @ 50.0¢