0xf28f…841a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf28fe54027fb3ef6a27b3989d360f002796a841a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+15.2pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

67% @ 52.1¢

Brier

0.174

Resolved

Avg size

$34

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	58% (7/12)	+0%	12
Politics	100% (4/4)	+53%	4
Sports	100% (1/1)	+72%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other12 bets
Hit rate
58% (7/12)
ROI
+0%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+53%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+72%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

67% hit · 12/18

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	$132	54.4¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$102	42.1¢	Lost
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$229	39.2¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$112	84.0¢	Won
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	$53	78.7¢	Won
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$101	58.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	$70	69.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	No	$5	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	$47	69.2¢	Won
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$60	64.5¢	Won
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?	No	$30	74.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 12?	No	$179	63.1¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	$58	40.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 10?	No	$63	67.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 12?	No	$91	71.5¢	Won
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	$366	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	$91	78.8¢	Won
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?	Yes	$25	24.0¢	Lost

Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?Won
No$132 @ 54.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$102 @ 42.1¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Won
Yes$229 @ 39.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$112 @ 84.0¢
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Won
Yes$53 @ 78.7¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$101 @ 58.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Won
No$70 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?Lost
No$5 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?Won
Yes$47 @ 69.2¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Won
No$60 @ 64.5¢
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?Lost
No$30 @ 74.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 12?Lost
No$179 @ 63.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Won
No$58 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 10?Won
No$63 @ 67.6¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 12?Won
No$91 @ 71.5¢
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Lost
No$366 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 10?Won
Yes$91 @ 78.8¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 24.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?	—	Yes	$499	92.0¢
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Tech	Yes	$270	88.4¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$123	74.7¢
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Sports	No	$70	37.0¢
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?	Sports	Yes	$50	8.0¢

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?—
Yes$499 @ 92.0¢
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Tech
Yes$270 @ 88.4¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports
Yes$123 @ 74.7¢
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Sports
No$70 @ 37.0¢
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?Sports
Yes$50 @ 8.0¢