0xf256…3767

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf256093c037da7a677dbbba7ea72cc4fb61d3767
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.8pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

52% @ 45.9¢

Brier

0.190

Resolved

525

Avg size

$15

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (114/209)	-1%	209
Sports	14% (2/14)	+14%	14
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other209 bets
Hit rate
55% (114/209)
ROI
-1%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
14% (2/14)
ROI
+14%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

52% hit · 116/224

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists	Yes	$14	28.0¢	Lost
Michael Olise: 5+ shots	Yes	$14	29.0¢	Lost
Erling Haaland: 1+ assists	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Michael Olise: 1+ assists	Yes	$23	45.0¢	Lost
Ousmane Dembélé: 5+ shots	Yes	$35	35.0¢	Lost
Désiré Doué: 2+ shots	Yes	$41	68.0¢	Lost
Ismael Saibari: 5+ shots	Yes	$5	18.0¢	Lost
Harry Kane: 3+ shots	Yes	$29	65.0¢	Lost
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals	Yes	$6	40.0¢	Lost
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals	Yes	$7	33.0¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Morocco	$18	22.5¢	Lost
Désiré Doué: 4+ shots	Yes	$39	13.0¢	Lost
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals	Yes	$20	22.0¢	Lost
Désiré Doué: 1+ assists	Yes	$12	17.0¢	Lost
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots	Yes	$44	44.0¢	Lost
Michael Olise: 1+ goals	Yes	$17	34.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 6.5 Corners	Over	$1	26.0¢	Lost
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	$18	26.0¢	Lost
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5	Over	$47	47.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	$27	38.0¢	Lost
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$20	40.0¢	Lost
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?	Yes	$94	33.7¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	$197	28.1¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	$330	44.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 25)	Yes	$42	83.6¢	Won
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 9+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?	Yes	$16	62.2¢	Won
Will Trump say "Corn" during Iowa speech?	Yes	$14	69.0¢	Lost
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$23	67.0¢	Won
Will Jensen Huang say "Ray Traced" or "Ray Tracing" during NVIDIA keynote?	Yes	$9	85.0¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?	Yes	$77	70.0¢	Lost
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5	Over	$23	46.0¢	Won
Will "Woke" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)	No	$23	40.4¢	Won
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 20+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)	Yes	$90	84.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Hell" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?	Yes	$23	67.1¢	Lost
Will "Alien" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)	No	$13	75.0¢	Won
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Will "Shooting" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)	No	$7	80.0¢	Won
Will Jensen Huang say "Lidar" during NVIDIA keynote?	No	$5	49.0¢	Won
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?	Yes	$12	0.4¢	Lost
Will Trump say "USIFTA" or "NAFTA" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?	No	$2	42.0¢	Won
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?	Yes	$108	36.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Stagflation" during Iowa speech?	Yes	$13	33.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)	Yes	$370	83.3¢	Won
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Over	$29	42.7¢	Won
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?	No	$2	3.0¢	Lost
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Over	$5	35.0¢	Lost
Will "Jackass" or "Moron" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)	Yes	$194	64.6¢	Won
Will Jensen Huang say "Quantum" 5+ times during NVIDIA keynote?	No	$5	52.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?	Yes	$14	72.0¢	Lost

Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsLost
Yes$14 @ 28.0¢
Michael Olise: 5+ shotsLost
Yes$14 @ 29.0¢
Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsLost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsLost
Yes$23 @ 45.0¢
Ousmane Dembélé: 5+ shotsLost
Yes$35 @ 35.0¢
Désiré Doué: 2+ shotsLost
Yes$41 @ 68.0¢
Ismael Saibari: 5+ shotsLost
Yes$5 @ 18.0¢
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsLost
Yes$29 @ 65.0¢
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$6 @ 40.0¢
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$7 @ 33.0¢
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceLost
Morocco$18 @ 22.5¢
Désiré Doué: 4+ shotsLost
Yes$39 @ 13.0¢
Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$20 @ 22.0¢
Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsLost
Yes$12 @ 17.0¢
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsLost
Yes$44 @ 44.0¢
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$17 @ 34.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 6.5 CornersLost
Over$1 @ 26.0¢
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersLost
Over$18 @ 26.0¢
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5Lost
Over$47 @ 47.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Lost
Yes$27 @ 38.0¢
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$20 @ 40.0¢
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?Lost
Yes$94 @ 33.7¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?Lost
Yes$197 @ 28.1¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?Lost
Yes$330 @ 44.0¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 25)Won
Yes$42 @ 83.6¢
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 9+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?Won
Yes$16 @ 62.2¢
Will Trump say "Corn" during Iowa speech?Lost
Yes$14 @ 69.0¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Won
Yes$23 @ 67.0¢
Will Jensen Huang say "Ray Traced" or "Ray Tracing" during NVIDIA keynote?Lost
Yes$9 @ 85.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?Lost
Yes$77 @ 70.0¢
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Won
Over$23 @ 46.0¢
Will "Woke" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)Won
No$23 @ 40.4¢
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 20+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)Won
Yes$90 @ 84.5¢
Will Trump say "Hell" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?Lost
Yes$23 @ 67.1¢
Will "Alien" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)Won
No$13 @ 75.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will "Shooting" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)Won
No$7 @ 80.0¢
Will Jensen Huang say "Lidar" during NVIDIA keynote?Won
No$5 @ 49.0¢
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Lost
Yes$12 @ 0.4¢
Will Trump say "USIFTA" or "NAFTA" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?Won
No$2 @ 42.0¢
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?Won
Yes$108 @ 36.0¢
Will Trump say "Stagflation" during Iowa speech?Lost
Yes$13 @ 33.3¢
Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)Won
Yes$370 @ 83.3¢
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Won
Over$29 @ 42.7¢
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Lost
No$2 @ 3.0¢
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$5 @ 35.0¢
Will "Jackass" or "Moron" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)Won
Yes$194 @ 64.6¢
Will Jensen Huang say "Quantum" 5+ times during NVIDIA keynote?Won
No$5 @ 52.0¢
Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?Lost
Yes$14 @ 72.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Poland win on 2026-09-28?	Sports	Yes	$346	23.1¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Sports	Yes	$330	44.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Sports	Yes	$197	28.1¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Sports	Yes	$109	23.8¢
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?	Sports	Yes	$94	33.7¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?	—	Yes	$84	25.7¢
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?	—	Yes	$75	25.1¢
Will Poland win on 2026-10-05?	Sports	Yes	$61	17.6¢
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5	—	Over	$47	47.0¢
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots	—	Yes	$44	44.0¢
Désiré Doué: 2+ shots	—	Yes	$41	68.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?	—	Yes	$40	40.0¢
Désiré Doué: 4+ shots	—	Yes	$39	13.0¢
Ousmane Dembélé: 5+ shots	—	Yes	$35	35.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	—	Yes	$33	22.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Sports	Yes	$31	62.0¢
Harry Kane: 3+ shots	—	Yes	$29	65.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	—	Yes	$27	38.0¢
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance	—	Japan	$26	26.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Sports	Yes	$25	25.0¢
Michael Olise: 1+ assists	—	Yes	$23	45.0¢
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5	—	Over	$21	35.0¢
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$20	40.0¢
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals	—	Yes	$20	22.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	—	Yes	$19	32.0¢
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	—	Morocco	$18	22.5¢
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 3.5 Corners	—	Over	$18	26.0¢
Michael Olise: 1+ goals	—	Yes	$17	34.0¢
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?	Sports	Yes	$16	20.0¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Sports	Yes	$16	8.0¢

Will Poland win on 2026-09-28?Sports
Yes$346 @ 23.1¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?Sports
Yes$330 @ 44.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?Sports
Yes$197 @ 28.1¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Sports
Yes$109 @ 23.8¢
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?Sports
Yes$94 @ 33.7¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?—
Yes$84 @ 25.7¢
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?—
Yes$75 @ 25.1¢
Will Poland win on 2026-10-05?Sports
Yes$61 @ 17.6¢
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5—
Over$47 @ 47.0¢
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots—
Yes$44 @ 44.0¢
Désiré Doué: 2+ shots—
Yes$41 @ 68.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?—
Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
Désiré Doué: 4+ shots—
Yes$39 @ 13.0¢
Ousmane Dembélé: 5+ shots—
Yes$35 @ 35.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?—
Yes$33 @ 22.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Sports
Yes$31 @ 62.0¢
Harry Kane: 3+ shots—
Yes$29 @ 65.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?—
Yes$27 @ 38.0¢
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance—
Japan$26 @ 26.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Sports
Yes$25 @ 25.0¢
Michael Olise: 1+ assists—
Yes$23 @ 45.0¢
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5—
Over$21 @ 35.0¢
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$20 @ 40.0¢
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals—
Yes$20 @ 22.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?—
Yes$19 @ 32.0¢
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance—
Morocco$18 @ 22.5¢
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 3.5 Corners—
Over$18 @ 26.0¢
Michael Olise: 1+ goals—
Yes$17 @ 34.0¢
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Sports
Yes$16 @ 20.0¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Sports
Yes$16 @ 8.0¢