← Smart money
0xf244…9b9e
SharpEdge
+10.4pp
ROI
+30%
Win rate
49% @ 39.0¢
Brier
0.063
Resolved
245
Avg size
$141
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 50% (2/4) | +27% | 4 |
| Other | 100% (2/2) | +53% | 2 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +27%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +53%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
50% hit · 4/8| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | Yes | $430 | 14.3¢ | Lost |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | $10.8k | 66.2¢ | Won |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | $18.5k | 74.5¢ | Won |
| Texas vs. Tennessee | Tennessee | $662 | 34.0¢ | Lost |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | Yes | $1.6k | 7.8¢ | Lost |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | No | $2.3k | 62.6¢ | Won |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | No | $199 | 66.4¢ | Won |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | Yes | $632 | 35.1¢ | Lost |
- Yes$430 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$10.8k @ 66.2¢
- Yes$18.5k @ 74.5¢
- Tennessee$662 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 7.8¢
- No$2.3k @ 62.6¢
- No$199 @ 66.4¢
- Yes$632 @ 35.1¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
- No$5.5k @ 92.9¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 85.0¢
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?GeopoliticsYes$2.3k @ 17.2¢
- No$1.4k @ 72.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 72.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 59.6¢
- No$1.1k @ 82.0¢
- No$995 @ 66.3¢
- Yes$994 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$679 @ 27.2¢
- No$670 @ 70.2¢
- No$511 @ 85.3¢
- Yes$123 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$79 @ 70.0¢