0xf240…f825

Specialization by sphere

• Other497 bets

  Hit rate

  51% (254/497)

  ROI

  +10%

• Politics4 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (2/4)

  ROI

  -31%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Trump say "EU" or "European Union" during Meloni visit on April 17?Won
  No$1 @ 15.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?Won
  No$87 @ 87.0¢
• Will Rutte say "nuclear" during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24?Won
  No$1 @ 18.0¢
• Will Trump say "Season" this week? (December 8 - 14)Won
  Yes$5 @ 60.0¢
• Will Trump say “Big Beautiful Bill” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?Lost
  No$6 @ 21.9¢
• Will Powell say "Recession" during Framework Review speech on May 15?Won
  Yes$3 @ 33.0¢
• Will Trump say "Gender" during NRCC Dinner on April 8?Won
  Yes$1 @ 65.0¢
• Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during his presser with Ireland PM?Won
  No$5 @ 84.0¢
• Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during May 16 Baier interview?Won
  No$9 @ 88.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Won
  No$4 @ 42.0¢
• Will Trump say 'NATO' during the 2025 State of the Union?Won
  No$5 @ 24.0¢
• Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?Lost
  No$18 @ 36.4¢
• Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during the press conference?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
• Will Trump say "Tower" this week?Won
  Yes$4 @ 35.0¢
• Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$20 @ 55.0¢
• Will Trump say "Coal" during Pittsburgh rally on May 30?Won
  No$3 @ 17.0¢
• Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?Won
  No$20 @ 60.0¢
• Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?Won
  No$24 @ 80.0¢
• Will Donald Trump say "Germany" 7+ times during Merz events on June 5?Won
  Yes$5 @ 63.0¢
• Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during NRCC Dinner on April 8?Won
  Yes$1 @ 62.0¢
• Will Trump say "Pakistan" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?Won
  Yes$3 @ 56.0¢
• Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?Won
  No$6 @ 20.0¢
• Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?Lost
  Yes$24 @ 81.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 48.7¢
• Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during July Press Conference?Won
  No$95 @ 79.1¢
• Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" this week?Won
  No$9 @ 89.0¢
• Will Trump say "Gold" at CPAC conference on Saturday?Lost
  No$5 @ 27.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Won
  No$159 @ 52.7¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Lost
  Yes$94 @ 35.0¢
• Will Elon say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Saudi-US investment forum on May 13?Won
  No$4 @ 71.0¢
• Will Trump say "Big beautiful deal" this week?Won
  No$7 @ 66.0¢
• Nothing Ever Happens Lost
  No$31 @ 51.7¢
• Nothing Ever Happens Won
  Yes$12 @ 60.0¢
• Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "Rocket" during the press conference?Lost
  No$0 @ 5.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 31.0¢
• Will Joe Biden say "China" during his May 8 interview?Won
  No$2 @ 47.0¢
• Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?Won
  No$3 @ 27.0¢
• Will Elon say "Mars" during Baier interview on Thursday?Won
  No$4 @ 85.0¢
• Will Trump say "Coal" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?Won
  No$9 @ 88.0¢
• Will Trump say "Coal" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 22.0¢
• Will Trump impose tariffs on China in the first 100 days?Lost
  No$1 @ 1.4¢
• Will Jerome Powell say "China" during the March meeting?Won
  No$1 @ 56.0¢
• Will Powell say "COVID" 3+ times during Framework Review speech on May 15?Won
  No$27 @ 89.0¢
• Will Trump say "FDA" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?Lost
  No$2 @ 23.0¢
• Will Trump not lower tariffs on any country by July 31?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
• Will Trump say "F-35" or "B-2" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Lost
  No$4 @ 13.0¢
• Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?Won
  Yes$3 @ 55.0¢
• Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his University of Alabama commencement speech?Won
  Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
• Will Trump say "George Washington" during his 4th of July remarks?Won
  No$2 @ 24.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$76 @ 84.7¢

Current positions

• Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$270 @ 90.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$232 @ 85.8¢
• Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$200 @ 94.7¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$180 @ 94.6¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$145 @ 76.1¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$134 @ 89.7¢
• Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$130 @ 93.9¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$100 @ 91.0¢
• Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$100 @ 95.0¢
• Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$100 @ 95.9¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$93 @ 93.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$85 @ 85.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboGeopolitics
  No$76 @ 76.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$50 @ 95.5¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$50 @ 86.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$40 @ 93.9¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$40 @ 91.4¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$34 @ 67.0¢
• Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Politics
  No$26 @ 66.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$25 @ 86.1¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$25 @ 84.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$8 @ 76.0¢
• Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$5 @ 73.0¢
• Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$5 @ 68.0¢
• Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$5 @ 48.0¢