0xf1fc…2b45

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf1fce1847d1fe486b9d5ddce0add54a8b53b2b45
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+28.1pp

ROI

+3%

Win rate

43% @ 15.2¢

Brier

0.312

Resolved

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	25% (2/8)	+25%	8
Politics	25% (1/4)	-17%	4
Other	50% (1/2)	+213%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports8 bets
Hit rate
25% (2/8)
ROI
+25%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-17%
Other2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+213%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

22% hit · 4/18

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?	Yes	$10	13.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	11.0¢	Lost
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$10	12.0¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	$10	16.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$10	30.0¢	Won
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	$10	47.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	14.0¢	Lost
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$10	13.0¢	Lost
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$10	15.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	15.0¢	Won
Epstein client list released by June 30?	Yes	$10	15.0¢	Lost
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Yes	$10	9.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	Yes	$20	7.9¢	Lost
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$10	10.2¢	Lost
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	29.9¢	Won
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	15.0¢	Lost

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Lost
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 11.0¢
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? Lost
Yes$10 @ 12.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Won
Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$10 @ 30.0¢
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 47.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 14.0¢
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
Epstein client list released by June 30?Lost
Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Lost
Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Lost
Yes$20 @ 7.9¢
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.2¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 29.9¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 15.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$10	11.0¢

Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$10 @ 11.0¢