0xf1f7…fa11

Specialization by sphere

• Other372 bets

  Hit rate

  59% (219/372)

  ROI

  +6%

• Politics26 bets

  Hit rate

  46% (12/26)

  ROI

  +9%

• Geopolitics3 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (3/3)

  ROI

  +47%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +45%

• Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Won
  Yes$398 @ 45.9¢
• Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Won
  No$105 @ 87.5¢
• Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
• Trump x Xi talk before July?Lost
  No$29 @ 29.0¢
• LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 WinnerWon
  KT Rolster$74 @ 68.8¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Friday?Won
  No$16 @ 85.0¢
• Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?Lost
  No$10 @ 49.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Won
  No$138 @ 46.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Lost
  Yes$829 @ 38.1¢
• Will Solana dip to $100 in April?Lost
  No$47 @ 47.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Won
  No$162 @ 81.4¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Won
  No$123 @ 47.4¢
• Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?Won
  No$44 @ 88.0¢
• Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Won
  No$145 @ 78.0¢
• Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?Won
  Yes$560 @ 72.0¢
• Will Jerome Powell say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the March meeting?Won
  Yes$13 @ 63.0¢
• Will Israel strike Syria on July 20?Won
  No$18 @ 89.6¢
• Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 73.1¢
• Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?Lost
  No$9 @ 44.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$580 @ 41.4¢
• Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Lost
  No$51 @ 23.3¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
  Yes$215 @ 75.5¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Won
  No$176 @ 44.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Lost
  Yes$159 @ 39.8¢
• Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Won
  No$296 @ 74.0¢
• US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Lost
  No$61 @ 32.3¢
• US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Won
  Yes$207 @ 75.0¢
• Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 25.0¢
• Will Trump recognize Syrian government before August?Won
  Yes$41 @ 81.0¢
• Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Lost
  No$239 @ 39.8¢
• Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Won
  No$1.7k @ 35.1¢
• Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?Won
  No$207 @ 59.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Lost
  No$142 @ 62.0¢
• US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Lost
  No$36 @ 12.0¢
• Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?Lost
  No$40 @ 17.0¢
• Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Won
  Yes$12 @ 77.8¢
• Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 50 or more times during the March meeting?Won
  Yes$27 @ 78.4¢
• US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?Lost
  Yes$160 @ 76.2¢
• Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his Cabinet Meeting on April 30?Won
  Yes$11 @ 75.0¢
• Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?Won
  No$89 @ 73.9¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
  No$69 @ 62.7¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$99 @ 66.0¢
• Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?Lost
  Yes$23 @ 23.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Won
  No$141 @ 47.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Won
  No$372 @ 74.4¢
• US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Won
  No$302 @ 62.6¢
• Will XRP reach $2.50 in April?Won
  No$68 @ 80.0¢
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
• Solana above $215 on January 10?Won
  No$45 @ 45.0¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$237 @ 79.0¢

Current positions

• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$150 @ 50.0¢
• Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics
  Yes$99 @ 66.0¢