← Smart money
0xf192…6ee2
ProfitableEdge
+7.1pp
ROI
+42%
Win rate
54% @ 46.8¢
Brier
0.229
Resolved
469
Avg size
$165
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 55% (41/74) | +63% | 74 |
| Politics | 52% (13/25) | +24% | 25 |
| Tech | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +138% | 2 |
- Other74 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (41/74)
- ROI
- +63%
- Politics25 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (13/25)
- ROI
- +24%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +138%
Track record
54% hit · 56/103- Yes$19 @ 2.2¢
- No$233 @ 31.3¢
- Yes$571 @ 14.2¢
- Yes$610 @ 61.0¢
- No$71 @ 6.1¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 23.8¢
- Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?WonYes$116 @ 17.5¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 54.1¢
- No$89 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$234 @ 30.0¢
- No$321 @ 82.3¢
- Yes$176 @ 29.9¢
- No$325 @ 79.8¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.8¢
- No$1.9k @ 65.0¢
- Yes$155 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 73.3¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 68.2¢
- No$742 @ 23.7¢
- Yes$6.7k @ 62.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$579 @ 54.8¢
- Yes$202 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 37.7¢
- Yes$135 @ 53.7¢
- No$1.7k @ 87.0¢
- Yes$350 @ 20.6¢
- Yes$849 @ 20.2¢
- Yes$188 @ 55.8¢
- No$199 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$500 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$619 @ 44.9¢
- Yes$90 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$99 @ 10.7¢
- Yes$62 @ 82.0¢
- No$236 @ 69.8¢
- Yes$840 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$79 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 26.3¢
- Yes$218 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$5.6k @ 63.4¢
- Yes$11 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$401 @ 22.7¢
- Yes$544 @ 33.4¢
- Yes$260 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$198 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$180 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 77.0¢
- No$175 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 36.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027? | Tech | Yes | $120 | 38.8¢ |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $62 | 30.5¢ |
- Yes$120 @ 38.8¢
- Yes$62 @ 30.5¢