0xf191…09f6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf191817327a0fe46aaaac2423079db2c1f0b09f6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.0pp

ROI

+46%

Win rate

13% @ 8.6¢

Brier

0.111

Resolved

2092

Avg size

$35

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	13% (6/45)	+43%	45
Sports	75% (3/4)	+107%	4
Politics	100% (2/2)	+123%	2
Culture	100% (2/2)	+189%	2

Other45 bets
Hit rate
13% (6/45)
ROI
+43%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+107%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+123%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+189%

Track record

25% hit · 13/53

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$57	67.0¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	Yes	$42	1.3¢	Lost
Super Bowl LIX Winner	Chiefs	$228	8.4¢	Lost
Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$991	2.3¢	Lost
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$2.7k	5.3¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	$289	28.4¢	Won
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$11.2k	6.7¢	Lost
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Patriots	$27	20.0¢	Lost
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$2.9k	2.3¢	Lost
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$10.9k	5.8¢	Lost
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?	Yes	$2.8k	5.4¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$960	77.0¢	Won
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	Yes	$642	27.6¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$50	31.0¢	Lost
Biden drops out of presidential race?	No	$1.2k	13.4¢	Lost
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?	Yes	$398	2.7¢	Lost
Will $BTC reach 75k in July?	No	$576	80.0¢	Won
Will $BTC reach 75k in July?	Yes	$330	11.4¢	Lost
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$173	0.9¢	Lost
Will J. B. Pritzker be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$158	1.3¢	Lost
Will Tammy Baldwin be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$22	2.0¢	Lost
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?	No	$19	40.0¢	Won
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?	Yes	$884	12.7¢	Lost
Will Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?	Yes	$112	5.6¢	Lost
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$4.3k	4.5¢	Won
Will William McRaven be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$61	1.8¢	Lost
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?	Yes	$8.2k	76.8¢	Lost
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?	Yes	$702	4.9¢	Lost
Will another man be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$265	3.8¢	Lost
Ole Miss vs. Texas	Texas	$202	60.0¢	Won
Zellhuber vs. Ribovics	Zellhuber	$55	5.0¢	Lost
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$186	1.6¢	Lost
Mets vs. Cubs	Cubs	$177	35.4¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?	No	$1.4k	9.9¢	Lost
Will Hillary Clinton be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$283	2.5¢	Lost
Shooter identity released by tonight?	No	$952	53.3¢	Won
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$768	2.1¢	Lost
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	No	$392	33.2¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$105	1.5¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$7.3k	37.8¢	Lost
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$162	2.5¢	Lost
Will Mark Cuban be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$180	2.2¢	Lost
Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$485	1.7¢	Lost
Broncos vs. Raiders	Raiders	$11	12.0¢	Lost
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?	No	$183	80.6¢	Won
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?	Yes	$302	8.6¢	Lost
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$1.4k	24.7¢	Lost
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?	No	$278	34.4¢	Won
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$3.0k	70.6¢	Won
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?	Yes	$2.6k	18.9¢	Lost

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$57 @ 67.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Lost
Yes$42 @ 1.3¢
Super Bowl LIX WinnerLost
Chiefs$228 @ 8.4¢
Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$991 @ 2.3¢
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$2.7k @ 5.3¢
Knicks vs. SpursWon
Knicks$289 @ 28.4¢
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$11.2k @ 6.7¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsLost
Patriots$27 @ 20.0¢
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$2.9k @ 2.3¢
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$10.9k @ 5.8¢
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Lost
Yes$2.8k @ 5.4¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
Yes$960 @ 77.0¢
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Won
Yes$642 @ 27.6¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$50 @ 31.0¢
Biden drops out of presidential race?Lost
No$1.2k @ 13.4¢
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Lost
Yes$398 @ 2.7¢
Will $BTC reach 75k in July?Won
No$576 @ 80.0¢
Will $BTC reach 75k in July?Lost
Yes$330 @ 11.4¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$173 @ 0.9¢
Will J. B. Pritzker be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$158 @ 1.3¢
Will Tammy Baldwin be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$22 @ 2.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?Won
No$19 @ 40.0¢
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Lost
Yes$884 @ 12.7¢
Will Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Lost
Yes$112 @ 5.6¢
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Won
Yes$4.3k @ 4.5¢
Will William McRaven be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$61 @ 1.8¢
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?Lost
Yes$8.2k @ 76.8¢
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Lost
Yes$702 @ 4.9¢
Will another man be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$265 @ 3.8¢
Ole Miss vs. TexasWon
Texas$202 @ 60.0¢
Zellhuber vs. RibovicsLost
Zellhuber$55 @ 5.0¢
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$186 @ 1.6¢
Mets vs. CubsLost
Cubs$177 @ 35.4¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Lost
No$1.4k @ 9.9¢
Will Hillary Clinton be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$283 @ 2.5¢
Shooter identity released by tonight?Won
No$952 @ 53.3¢
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$768 @ 2.1¢
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Lost
No$392 @ 33.2¢
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$105 @ 1.5¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$7.3k @ 37.8¢
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$162 @ 2.5¢
Will Mark Cuban be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$180 @ 2.2¢
Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$485 @ 1.7¢
Broncos vs. RaidersLost
Raiders$11 @ 12.0¢
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?Won
No$183 @ 80.6¢
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?Lost
Yes$302 @ 8.6¢
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 24.7¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Won
No$278 @ 34.4¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$3.0k @ 70.6¢
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
Yes$2.6k @ 18.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	—	No	$392	33.2¢
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?	Culture	Yes	$297	59.8¢
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by March 31, 2027?	Culture	Yes	$57	33.9¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	—	Yes	$49	31.0¢
Broncos vs. Raiders	—	Raiders	$11	12.0¢

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?—
No$392 @ 33.2¢
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?Culture
Yes$297 @ 59.8¢
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by March 31, 2027?Culture
Yes$57 @ 33.9¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?—
Yes$49 @ 31.0¢
Broncos vs. Raiders—
Raiders$11 @ 12.0¢