0xf189…8e47

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf1899a30a2c016941bf4abd77b900ecacd768e47
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+1.7pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

36% @ 34.2¢

Brier

0.095

Resolved

2786

Avg size

$131

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (257/621)	+3%	621
Politics	60% (3/5)	+20%	5
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	-46%	3

Other621 bets
Hit rate
41% (257/621)
ROI
+3%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+20%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-46%

Track record

41% hit · 261/629

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Elon post less than 40 times?	Yes	$8	3.9¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?	No	$7.6k	89.7¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet less than 40 times?	Yes	$34	9.7¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 70-79 times?	No	$328	82.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 70-79 times?	Yes	$48	84.1¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	$5.4k	84.2¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$4.4k	34.4¢	Lost
Will Elon post 60-69 times?	No	$462	77.0¢	Won
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	Yes	$267	89.0¢	Won
Andrew Tate posts 140-159 times June 5-12?	Yes	$158	13.4¢	Lost
Will China win the 3rd most medals?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?	No	$3.0k	75.0¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 90-99 times?	No	$45	89.0¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 90-99 times?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
X banned in Brazil before May?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Elon post 80-89 times?	No	$204	64.4¢	Won
Will Elon post 80-89 times?	Yes	$3	46.0¢	Lost
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Vietnam in April?	No	$7	36.0¢	Lost
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Vietnam in April?	Yes	$13	63.0¢	Won
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on April 11?	Yes	$30	11.1¢	Lost
Ethereum all time high in Q2 2024?	Yes	$57	8.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$4.9k	81.0¢	Won
Will Elon post 60-69 times?	Yes	$14	6.1¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet between 75 and 84 times?	No	$390	85.1¢	Won
Will Elon tweet between 75 and 84 times?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Andrew Tate posts 120-139 times June 5-12?	No	$253	62.9¢	Won
Andrew Tate posts 120-139 times June 5-12?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?	Yes	$4.3k	51.7¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 105-119 times?	Yes	$16	16.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	$258	86.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	$16	1.0¢	Lost
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?	Yes	$249	41.5¢	Won
Will Andrew Tate tweet 55-64 times?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on June 13?	No	$219	79.5¢	Won
Will $ETH reach 4.3k in July?	No	$541	86.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 90-104 times?	No	$737	67.0¢	Lost
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?	No	$267	89.0¢	Won
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?	Yes	$563	11.3¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?	No	$241	81.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.8k	70.0¢	Won
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday?	Yes	$332	83.0¢	Won
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?	No	$410	8.2¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?	No	$593	82.9¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?	Yes	$97	28.2¢	Lost
Trump posts 40-49 times on X?	No	$585	79.0¢	Won
Trump posts 40-49 times on X?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	No	$957	71.7¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	Yes	$655	38.3¢	Lost

Will Elon post less than 40 times?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.9¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Lost
No$7.6k @ 89.7¢
Will Elon tweet less than 40 times?Lost
Yes$34 @ 9.7¢
Will Elon tweet 70-79 times?Lost
No$328 @ 82.0¢
Will Elon tweet 70-79 times?Won
Yes$48 @ 84.1¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Won
No$5.4k @ 84.2¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$4.4k @ 34.4¢
Will Elon post 60-69 times?Won
No$462 @ 77.0¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Won
Yes$267 @ 89.0¢
Andrew Tate posts 140-159 times June 5-12?Lost
Yes$158 @ 13.4¢
Will China win the 3rd most medals?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?Won
No$3.0k @ 75.0¢
Will Elon tweet 90-99 times?Won
No$45 @ 89.0¢
Will Elon tweet 90-99 times?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
X banned in Brazil before May?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Elon post 80-89 times?Won
No$204 @ 64.4¢
Will Elon post 80-89 times?Lost
Yes$3 @ 46.0¢
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Vietnam in April?Lost
No$7 @ 36.0¢
Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on Vietnam in April?Won
Yes$13 @ 63.0¢
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on April 11?Lost
Yes$30 @ 11.1¢
Ethereum all time high in Q2 2024?Lost
Yes$57 @ 8.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$4.9k @ 81.0¢
Will Elon post 60-69 times?Lost
Yes$14 @ 6.1¢
Will Elon tweet between 75 and 84 times?Won
No$390 @ 85.1¢
Will Elon tweet between 75 and 84 times?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Andrew Tate posts 120-139 times June 5-12?Won
No$253 @ 62.9¢
Andrew Tate posts 120-139 times June 5-12?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?Won
Yes$4.3k @ 51.7¢
Will Elon tweet 105-119 times?Lost
Yes$16 @ 16.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Won
No$258 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Lost
Yes$16 @ 1.0¢
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?Won
Yes$249 @ 41.5¢
Will Andrew Tate tweet 55-64 times?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on June 13?Won
No$219 @ 79.5¢
Will $ETH reach 4.3k in July?Won
No$541 @ 86.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will Elon tweet 90-104 times?Lost
No$737 @ 67.0¢
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?Won
No$267 @ 89.0¢
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?Lost
Yes$563 @ 11.3¢
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?Lost
No$241 @ 81.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2.8k @ 70.0¢
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday?Won
Yes$332 @ 83.0¢
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Lost
No$410 @ 8.2¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?Won
No$593 @ 82.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?Lost
Yes$97 @ 28.2¢
Trump posts 40-49 times on X?Won
No$585 @ 79.0¢
Trump posts 40-49 times on X?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Won
No$957 @ 71.7¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Lost
Yes$655 @ 38.3¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	Other	No	$5.0k	90.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in September?	Other	No	$1.3k	94.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in September?	Other	No	$1.1k	96.8¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?	Other	Yes	$671	51.2¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September?	Other	No	$671	91.3¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?	Other	No	$527	86.2¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Other	No	$487	54.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in September?	Other	No	$426	89.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September?	Other	Yes	$280	46.2¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in September?	Other	No	$188	94.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in September?	Other	No	$142	77.5¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September?	Other	Yes	$95	54.4¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in September?	Other	No	$79	92.6¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?	Other	No	$75	29.0¢
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Economy	No	$49	98.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Economy	No	$16	44.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?	Other	Yes	$14	25.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	Other	No	$13	57.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?	Other	No	$12	83.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?	Other	Yes	$9	70.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in September?	Other	Yes	$5	7.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September?	Other	No	$4	86.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?	Other	Yes	$1	23.0¢

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?Other
No$5.0k @ 90.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in September?Other
No$1.3k @ 94.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in September?Other
No$1.1k @ 96.8¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?Other
Yes$671 @ 51.2¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September?Other
No$671 @ 91.3¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?Other
No$527 @ 86.2¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?Other
No$487 @ 54.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in September?Other
No$426 @ 89.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September?Other
Yes$280 @ 46.2¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in September?Other
No$188 @ 94.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in September?Other
No$142 @ 77.5¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September?Other
Yes$95 @ 54.4¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in September?Other
No$79 @ 92.6¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?Other
No$75 @ 29.0¢
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy
No$49 @ 98.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy
No$16 @ 44.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?Other
Yes$14 @ 25.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?Other
No$13 @ 57.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?Other
No$12 @ 83.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?Other
Yes$9 @ 70.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in September?Other
Yes$5 @ 7.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September?Other
No$4 @ 86.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?Other
Yes$1 @ 23.0¢