← Smart money
0xf14e…6173
SharpEdge
+15.4pp
ROI
+15%
Win rate
97% @ 81.9¢
Brier
0.030
Resolved
74
Avg size
$142
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 60% (3/5) | +8% | 5 |
| Politics | 100% (3/3) | +18% | 3 |
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- +8%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +18%
Track record
75% hit · 6/8| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | No | $890 | 89.0¢ | Won |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | No | $1.3k | 87.3¢ | Won |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | Yes | $155 | 14.8¢ | Lost |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | Yes | $870 | 87.0¢ | Won |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | No | $1.3k | 77.8¢ | Won |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | No | $3.1k | 86.1¢ | Won |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | Yes | $5 | 29.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | No | $2.8k | 85.9¢ | Won |
- No$890 @ 89.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 87.3¢
- Yes$155 @ 14.8¢
- Yes$870 @ 87.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 77.8¢
- No$3.1k @ 86.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 29.0¢
- No$2.8k @ 85.9¢
Recent trades
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