0xf118…1f58

Specialization by sphere

• Other96 bets

  Hit rate

  45% (43/96)

  ROI

  +17%

• Politics2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -22%

• No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
  Yes$500 @ 30.0¢
• Will the Liberals win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$12 @ 1.3¢
• DNC open convention?Lost
  Yes$314 @ 24.7¢
• Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
  Yes$409 @ 2.2¢
• Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Lost
  Yes$651 @ 50.0¢
• Will Israel invade Lebanon before May?Lost
  Yes$50 @ 8.0¢
• Will Trump nominate Ric Grenell for Secretary of State?Won
  No$165 @ 55.0¢
• Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?Won
  No$3.7k @ 87.0¢
• Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Lost
  Yes$714 @ 6.0¢
• Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
  Yes$205 @ 4.2¢
• Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?Won
  No$99 @ 53.0¢
• Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday?Won
  Yes$70 @ 14.0¢
• Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
  No$5.4k @ 73.6¢
• Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Lost
  Yes$88 @ 2.7¢
• Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Won
  Yes$452 @ 60.0¢
• Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June 30?Won
  No$3.7k @ 85.5¢
• Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June 30?Lost
  Yes$201 @ 14.0¢
• Trump wins and picks Dimon for Treasury Secretary?Won
  No$821 @ 79.2¢
• Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?Lost
  No$49 @ 0.6¢
• Will there be another debate?Lost
  Yes$1.4k @ 23.8¢
• Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?Won
  No$7.2k @ 82.5¢
• Biden drops out of presidential race?Lost
  No$5.9k @ 68.9¢
• Trudeau out in 2024?Lost
  Yes$144 @ 2.5¢
• Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Lost
  Yes$120 @ 4.0¢
• Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Lost
  No$600 @ 36.0¢
• Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?Won
  Yes$7.1k @ 59.7¢
• Trump wins every state in Rep. Nomination?Won
  No$100 @ 16.0¢
• Will a Republican win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?Lost
  Yes$270 @ 30.0¢
• Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?Won
  No$488 @ 85.0¢
• Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?Won
  Kamala$540 @ 18.0¢
• Will Trump win Massachusetts Republican Primary?Lost
  No$6 @ 4.0¢
• Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Lost
  No$225 @ 9.0¢
• Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$1.1k @ 61.6¢
• Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?Lost
  No$536 @ 59.6¢
• Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?Won
  No$4.0k @ 84.8¢
• Who will win the debate according to polls?Won
  Kamala$769 @ 64.5¢
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$600 @ 76.0¢
• Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?Won
  No$1000 @ 87.0¢
• Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
  No$857 @ 9.6¢
• Will Trump nominate Mike Pompeo for Defense Secretary?Won
  No$103 @ 57.4¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Won
  Yes$617 @ 19.2¢
• US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Won
  No$2.5k @ 47.0¢
• Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Won
  No$695 @ 43.9¢
• Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Lost
  Yes$2.8k @ 56.1¢
• Will a Democrat win Maryland US Senate Election?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 82.7¢
• Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Won
  No$292 @ 71.0¢
• Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?Won
  No$224 @ 16.6¢
• Ursula von der Leyen reelected as EU president?Lost
  No$100 @ 17.4¢
• Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?Lost
  No$419 @ 31.0¢
• Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?Lost
  Yes$1.6k @ 54.0¢