0xf0df…69c5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf0df89d9f60612e56f005a28d47210e1cb2369c5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.8pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

29% @ 25.6¢

Brier

0.159

Resolved

4569

Avg size

$93

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	38% (51/133)	+35%	133
Sports	27% (6/22)	-43%	22
Politics	71% (5/7)	+93%	7

Other133 bets
Hit rate
38% (51/133)
ROI
+35%
Sports22 bets
Hit rate
27% (6/22)
ROI
-43%
Politics7 bets
Hit rate
71% (5/7)
ROI
+93%

Track record

38% hit · 62/162

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$4	3.5¢	Lost
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$378	14.0¢	Lost
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?	Yes	$172	7.5¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	$892	89.0¢	Won
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	No	$45	37.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	$101	58.0¢	Lost
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?	Yes	$1.5k	11.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$2.9k	83.1¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$2.2k	13.6¢	Lost
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	$85	85.0¢	Won
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$2.6k	39.0¢	Won
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?	No	$200	7.2¢	Lost
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	$252	7.5¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$104	53.0¢	Lost
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	Yes	$449	27.4¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	Yes	$5	9.0¢	Lost
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$8	1.4¢	Lost
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$6.3k	10.4¢	Lost
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	$1.8k	4.0¢	Lost
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	$996	3.8¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	Yes	$1.7k	87.0¢	Won
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?	No	$41	34.0¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?	No	$4.1k	62.0¢	Won
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	$390	39.0¢	Lost
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$466	29.2¢	Won
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	$33	11.0¢	Lost
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$3.0k	8.0¢	Lost
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?	Yes	$1.5k	15.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	$2.8k	41.5¢	Lost
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-03-26?	Yes	$20	6.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$4.0k	21.1¢	Lost
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?	Yes	$3.5k	11.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$1.6k	30.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$5.4k	5.6¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$29.9k	17.8¢	Won
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	$277	83.1¢	Won
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$8.5k	23.8¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$4.5k	68.3¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	$10.7k	19.4¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	No	$1.1k	36.0¢	Won
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$6.0k	15.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	$1.6k	72.0¢	Lost
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$10.3k	5.9¢	Lost
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$4	14.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.8k	38.0¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$6.2k	23.5¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$5	37.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	$10	67.0¢	Won

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.5¢
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?Lost
Yes$378 @ 14.0¢
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?Lost
Yes$172 @ 7.5¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Won
No$892 @ 89.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Lost
No$45 @ 37.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Lost
Yes$101 @ 58.0¢
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 11.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$2.9k @ 83.1¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.2k @ 13.6¢
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?Won
No$85 @ 85.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?Won
Yes$2.6k @ 39.0¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?Lost
No$200 @ 7.2¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Lost
Yes$252 @ 7.5¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$104 @ 53.0¢
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Lost
Yes$449 @ 27.4¢
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.0¢
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.4¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Lost
Yes$6.3k @ 10.4¢
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 4.0¢
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Lost
Yes$996 @ 3.8¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 87.0¢
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?Lost
No$41 @ 34.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?Won
No$4.1k @ 62.0¢
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
No$390 @ 39.0¢
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Won
Yes$466 @ 29.2¢
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?Lost
Yes$33 @ 11.0¢
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Lost
Yes$3.0k @ 8.0¢
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 15.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Lost
Yes$2.8k @ 41.5¢
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-03-26?Lost
Yes$20 @ 6.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$4.0k @ 21.1¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?Lost
Yes$3.5k @ 11.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 30.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$5.4k @ 5.6¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$29.9k @ 17.8¢
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?Won
No$277 @ 83.1¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Lost
Yes$8.5k @ 23.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$4.5k @ 68.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Lost
Yes$10.7k @ 19.4¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Won
No$1.1k @ 36.0¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$6.0k @ 15.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Lost
No$1.6k @ 72.0¢
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$10.3k @ 5.9¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$4 @ 14.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1.8k @ 38.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$6.2k @ 23.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$5 @ 37.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Won
Yes$10 @ 67.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?	Politics	Yes	$1.2k	84.1¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$907	6.8¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$899	89.9¢
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?	Politics	No	$453	32.1¢
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?	Politics	No	$252	94.8¢
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Politics	No	$120	86.0¢
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?	Politics	Yes	$69	11.0¢
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$58	0.3¢

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?Politics
Yes$1.2k @ 84.1¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$907 @ 6.8¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$899 @ 89.9¢
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?Politics
No$453 @ 32.1¢
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?Politics
No$252 @ 94.8¢
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?Politics
No$120 @ 86.0¢
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?Politics
Yes$69 @ 11.0¢
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$58 @ 0.3¢