← Smart money
0xf020…3212
SharpEdge
+15.9pp
ROI
+31%
Win rate
78% @ 61.7¢
Brier
0.114
Resolved
572
Avg size
$1.1k
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tech | 50% (3/6) | +9% | 6 |
| Sports | 50% (2/4) | -1% | 4 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +173% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +25% | 1 |
- Tech6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +9%
- Sports4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -1%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +173%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +25%
Track record
58% hit · 7/12| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | $14.9k | 52.0¢ | Lost |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | $85.0k | 36.6¢ | Won |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30? | No | $16.5k | 82.6¢ | Won |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | No | $16.7k | 21.4¢ | Lost |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $151.1k | 81.7¢ | Won |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | $105.9k | 79.8¢ | Won |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | No | $69.1k | 69.5¢ | Won |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | Yes | $39.8k | 38.5¢ | Lost |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | No | $33.0k | 88.7¢ | Won |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | Yes | $54 | 13.1¢ | Lost |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | No | $11.7k | 18.0¢ | Lost |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | No | $77.5k | 72.8¢ | Won |
- No$14.9k @ 52.0¢
- Yes$85.0k @ 36.6¢
- No$16.5k @ 82.6¢
- No$16.7k @ 21.4¢
- Yes$151.1k @ 81.7¢
- No$105.9k @ 79.8¢
- No$69.1k @ 69.5¢
- Yes$39.8k @ 38.5¢
- No$33.0k @ 88.7¢
- Yes$54 @ 13.1¢
- No$11.7k @ 18.0¢
- No$77.5k @ 72.8¢
Recent trades
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