0xf019…6ba3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf019ba59648f65bf85ace387da55264fceae6ba3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.7pp

ROI

+48%

Win rate

50% @ 41.1¢

Brier

0.176

Resolved

187

Avg size

$11

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	42% (18/43)	+8%	43
Tech	73% (8/11)	+92%	11
Sports	80% (4/5)	+65%	5
Politics	25% (1/4)	-79%	4
Crypto	75% (3/4)	+27%	4
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other43 bets
Hit rate
42% (18/43)
ROI
+8%
Tech11 bets
Hit rate
73% (8/11)
ROI
+92%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+65%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-79%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+27%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

50% hit · 34/68

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Google say "DeepMind" or "Deep Mind" during earnings call?	Yes	$3	33.0¢	Won
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	$451	40.5¢	Won
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	$10	51.0¢	Won
Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	Yes	$9	17.0¢	Lost
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	Yes	$104	56.4¢	Won
Will Jensen Huang say "Meta" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?	Yes	$3	55.0¢	Won
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?	Yes	$1	20.0¢	Lost
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
Will DtMF - Bad Bunny be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	Yes	$9	88.0¢	Won
Will Aperture - Harry Styles be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	Yes	$44	88.0¢	Won
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?	Yes	$6	85.0¢	Won
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?	Yes	$27	18.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$5	17.0¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$47	47.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?	Yes	$7	1.4¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$19	46.5¢	Won
Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	$42	84.8¢	Won
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$3	60.0¢	Lost
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$85	85.0¢	Won
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	$11	7.2¢	Lost
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?	Yes	$7	6.9¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$67	67.0¢	Won
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?	No	$10	33.0¢	Won
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	$8	1.5¢	Lost
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	$4	85.0¢	Won
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	No	$21	52.5¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$40	80.0¢	Won
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	$14	14.0¢	Lost
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?	No	$11	55.0¢	Won
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	$2	18.0¢	Lost
Will Google reach $385 in February?	Yes	$6	15.0¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$75	75.0¢	Won
Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$8	40.5¢	Won
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	$77	76.5¢	Won
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?	Yes	$7	6.5¢	Lost
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	$5	25.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$23	15.5¢	Lost
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	No	$23	56.5¢	Won
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?	Yes	$26	22.0¢	Won
Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	$37	74.0¢	Won
Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	Yes	$7	35.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$8	80.0¢	Won
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	$20	13.4¢	Lost
Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	Yes	$6	12.0¢	Lost
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?	Yes	$24	61.0¢	Lost
Will Google say "Privacy" during earnings call?	Yes	$2	25.0¢	Lost
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	No	$19	17.7¢	Lost
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	$8	2.6¢	Lost

Will Google say "DeepMind" or "Deep Mind" during earnings call?Won
Yes$3 @ 33.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Won
Yes$451 @ 40.5¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Won
Ciryl Gane$10 @ 51.0¢
Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Lost
Yes$9 @ 17.0¢
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Won
Yes$104 @ 56.4¢
Will Jensen Huang say "Meta" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?Won
Yes$3 @ 55.0¢
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?Lost
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will DtMF - Bad Bunny be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Won
Yes$9 @ 88.0¢
Will Aperture - Harry Styles be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Won
Yes$44 @ 88.0¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Won
Yes$6 @ 85.0¢
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Lost
Yes$27 @ 18.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 17.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Lost
Yes$47 @ 47.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.4¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$19 @ 46.5¢
Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Won
No$42 @ 84.8¢
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 60.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Lost
Yes$11 @ 7.2¢
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?Lost
Yes$7 @ 6.9¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$67 @ 67.0¢
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?Won
No$10 @ 33.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?Lost
Yes$8 @ 1.5¢
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Won
No$4 @ 85.0¢
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Won
No$21 @ 52.5¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$40 @ 80.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Lost
Yes$14 @ 14.0¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?Won
No$11 @ 55.0¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Lost
No$2 @ 18.0¢
Will Google reach $385 in February?Lost
Yes$6 @ 15.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$75 @ 75.0¢
Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$8 @ 40.5¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Won
Yes$77 @ 76.5¢
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?Lost
Yes$7 @ 6.5¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Lost
Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$23 @ 15.5¢
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Won
No$23 @ 56.5¢
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?Won
Yes$26 @ 22.0¢
Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Won
No$37 @ 74.0¢
Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Lost
Yes$7 @ 35.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Won
No$8 @ 80.0¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Lost
Yes$20 @ 13.4¢
Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Lost
Yes$6 @ 12.0¢
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?Lost
Yes$24 @ 61.0¢
Will Google say "Privacy" during earnings call?Lost
Yes$2 @ 25.0¢
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Lost
No$19 @ 17.7¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Lost
Yes$8 @ 2.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Crypto	Yes	$81	16.2¢
Anduril IPO before 2027?	Business	Yes	$57	15.4¢
Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?	Sports	Yes	$21	12.0¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$9	18.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$7	36.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$4	9.7¢

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Crypto
Yes$81 @ 16.2¢
Anduril IPO before 2027?Business
Yes$57 @ 15.4¢
Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?Sports
Yes$21 @ 12.0¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$9 @ 18.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$7 @ 36.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
Yes$4 @ 9.7¢