← Smart money
0xeff9…05fd
SharpEdge
-1.8pp
ROI
+10%
Win rate
20% @ 22.0¢
Brier
0.108
Resolved
2965
Avg size
$97
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 29% (82/283) | +17% | 283 |
| Politics | 30% (19/64) | -0% | 64 |
| Tech | 50% (1/2) | -2% | 2 |
| Science | 100% (1/1) | +56% | 1 |
- Other283 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (82/283)
- ROI
- +17%
- Politics64 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (19/64)
- ROI
- -0%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -2%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +56%
Track record
29% hit · 103/350- Yes$3.3k @ 65.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 9.3¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 43.2¢
- Yes$199 @ 13.2¢
- Yes$234 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$58 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$800 @ 20.0¢
- No$993 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 95.0¢
- No$4.0k @ 66.6¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 39.3¢
- Yes$14 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$95 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$11 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$300 @ 10.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 80.0¢
- No$22.3k @ 89.0¢
- Yes$92 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$117 @ 15.0¢
- No$490 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 81.1¢
- Yes$205 @ 46.2¢
- Yes$103 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$405 @ 13.5¢
- No$12 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$212 @ 16.6¢
- Yes$90 @ 7.8¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 18.1¢
- Yes$247 @ 5.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | Politics | Yes | $3.3k | 52.5¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $660 | 10.7¢ |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 15? | Politics | Yes | $241 | 32.0¢ |
- Yes$3.3k @ 52.5¢
- Yes$660 @ 10.7¢
- Yes$241 @ 32.0¢