← Smart money
0xefb7…3647
ProfitableEdge
-5.6pp
ROI
+3%
Win rate
33% @ 38.8¢
Brier
0.187
Resolved
497
Avg size
$12
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 34% (101/297) | +10% | 297 |
| Sports | 44% (19/43) | -1% | 43 |
| Culture | 9% (1/11) | -83% | 11 |
| Politics | 25% (1/4) | -85% | 4 |
| Tech | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
- Other297 bets
- Hit rate
- 34% (101/297)
- ROI
- +10%
- Sports43 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (19/43)
- ROI
- -1%
- Culture11 bets
- Hit rate
- 9% (1/11)
- ROI
- -83%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -85%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
34% hit · 122/358- NRG$116 @ 56.5¢
- NRG$32 @ 32.0¢
- No$20 @ 44.0¢
- G2 Esports$29 @ 42.0¢
- Bears$12 @ 37.0¢
- Over$12 @ 51.0¢
- Bears$30 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 26.0¢
- Rams$25 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
- No$12 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
- No$2 @ 18.0¢
- No$3 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 16.6¢
- No$3 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.1¢
- No$14 @ 26.3¢
- Nets$15 @ 55.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
- Clippers$19 @ 48.7¢
- Yes$20 @ 48.0¢
- Falcons$20 @ 46.0¢
- No$5 @ 48.0¢
- Pistons vs. HeatLostPistons$10 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 22.8¢
- No$5 @ 51.9¢
- Yes$9 @ 28.3¢
- Clippers$5 @ 40.0¢
- Switzerland$19 @ 34.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 36.0¢
- No$2 @ 14.0¢
- Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?LostYes$1 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$7 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
- Nuggets$5 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 21.8¢
- No$10 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 32.2¢
- No$5 @ 49.0¢
- No$6 @ 41.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 47.0¢
- Alcaraz$10 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.3¢
- Brazil$16 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 34.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 23.3¢
- Bucks vs. HawksLostBucks$5 @ 26.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Karmine Corp vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D | Sports | NRG | $116 | 56.5¢ |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | Culture | Yes | $65 | 47.7¢ |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Politics | Yes | $58 | 57.6¢ |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? | Sports | Yes | $55 | 52.0¢ |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Politics | Yes | $50 | 50.0¢ |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Culture | Yes | $45 | 45.0¢ |
| Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | Sports | NRG | $32 | 32.0¢ |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | Sports | G2 Esports | $29 | 49.0¢ |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29? | Sports | No | $20 | 44.0¢ |
| Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? | Culture | Yes | $12 | 21.0¢ |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | Culture | Yes | $10 | 5.0¢ |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m? | Culture | Yes | $10 | 5.3¢ |
- NRG$116 @ 56.5¢
- Yes$65 @ 47.7¢
- Yes$58 @ 57.6¢
- Yes$55 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$45 @ 45.0¢
- NRG$32 @ 32.0¢
- G2 Esports$29 @ 49.0¢
- No$20 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.3¢