0xefac…c9a1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xeface9902242b0399856f981600b907dcc9bc9a1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

ProfitableSniper

Edge

-10.1pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

34% @ 43.8¢

Brier

0.158

Resolved

237

Avg size

$58

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	32% (17/53)	+1%	53
Politics	38% (6/16)	+8%	16
Culture	30% (3/10)	-7%	10
Other	83% (5/6)	+149%	6

Sports53 bets
Hit rate
32% (17/53)
ROI
+1%
Politics16 bets
Hit rate
38% (6/16)
ROI
+8%
Culture10 bets
Hit rate
30% (3/10)
ROI
-7%
Other6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
+149%

Track record

36% hit · 31/85

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Amaru Gaming	$67	5.0¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$18	0.5¢	Lost
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	Yes	$8	2.6¢	Lost
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$19	2.4¢	Lost
Will Wade Burleson be the Republican nominee for OK-03?	No	$15	73.9¢	Won
Will Canada finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	$3	8.1¢	Lost
ITF Zhengzhou: Qiu Yu Ye vs Le Yi Liu	Qiu Yu Ye	$218	77.5¢	Won
Will Jakeya Johnson be the Democratic nominee for MD-04?	No	$11	55.0¢	Won
Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	$1	2.2¢	Lost
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?	Yes	$806	37.7¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C	INFURITY Gaming	$315	59.6¢	Won
Will Jeff Hurd be the Republican nominee for CO-03?	No	$7	3.2¢	Lost
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs	XLG Gaming	$453	29.7¢	Lost
Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	$2	3.9¢	Lost
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	$9	1.1¢	Lost
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$6.3k	80.7¢	Won
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	$8	2.1¢	Lost
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?	Yes	$4.3k	85.5¢	Won
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Cloud Rising	$45	9.2¢	Lost
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during June Press Conference?	No	$107	70.5¢	Won
Will Georgia win the 2026 College World Series?	No	$124	69.5¢	Won
ITF Sapporo: Yuka Matsumoto vs Mayuka Aikawa	Yuka Matsumoto	$3	7.4¢	Won
Will Bruno Mars perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?	No	$273	33.2¢	Lost
Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?	No	$11	52.0¢	Won
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	$27	9.8¢	Lost
ITF Tokyo: Sena Okabe vs Hikaru Shiraishi	Hikaru Shiraishi	$147	86.0¢	Won
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	$1	4.3¢	Lost
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$222	41.6¢	Lost
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	$1	4.8¢	Lost
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	2.4¢	Lost
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	$10	18.0¢	Lost
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	$5	1.2¢	Lost
Will John Cowan be the Republican nominee for GA-11?	No	$2	4.1¢	Lost
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	$7	3.4¢	Lost
Will Charli XCX perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	$1	5.3¢	Lost
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$13	2.4¢	Lost
Will Kweisi Mfume be the Democratic nominee for MD-07?	No	$2	1.5¢	Lost
Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Yes	$1.1k	74.9¢	Won
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	$135	87.5¢	Won
Will Taylor Hall win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	No	$8	75.0¢	Won
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka	West Indies	$33	58.0¢	Won
Will Alabama win the 2026 College World Series?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
Will "Sweet Magnolias: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	$3	3.8¢	Lost
Will Caleb Wilson be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	Yes	$2	1.9¢	Lost
Will Ghana reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	2.9¢	Lost
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	$124	42.8¢	Lost
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	Yes	$14	16.9¢	Lost
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College World Series?	Yes	$3	0.6¢	Lost
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	No	$4	72.6¢	Won

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLost
Amaru Gaming$67 @ 5.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$18 @ 0.5¢
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Lost
Yes$8 @ 2.6¢
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$19 @ 2.4¢
Will Wade Burleson be the Republican nominee for OK-03?Won
No$15 @ 73.9¢
Will Canada finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Lost
Yes$3 @ 8.1¢
ITF Zhengzhou: Qiu Yu Ye vs Le Yi LiuWon
Qiu Yu Ye$218 @ 77.5¢
Will Jakeya Johnson be the Democratic nominee for MD-04?Won
No$11 @ 55.0¢
Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?Lost
Yes$806 @ 37.7¢
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group CWon
INFURITY Gaming$315 @ 59.6¢
Will Jeff Hurd be the Republican nominee for CO-03?Lost
No$7 @ 3.2¢
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsLost
XLG Gaming$453 @ 29.7¢
Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.9¢
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?Lost
Yes$9 @ 1.1¢
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$6.3k @ 80.7¢
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 2.1¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Won
Yes$4.3k @ 85.5¢
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLost
Cloud Rising$45 @ 9.2¢
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during June Press Conference?Won
No$107 @ 70.5¢
Will Georgia win the 2026 College World Series?Won
No$124 @ 69.5¢
ITF Sapporo: Yuka Matsumoto vs Mayuka AikawaWon
Yuka Matsumoto$3 @ 7.4¢
Will Bruno Mars perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?Lost
No$273 @ 33.2¢
Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?Won
No$11 @ 52.0¢
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Lost
Yes$27 @ 9.8¢
ITF Tokyo: Sena Okabe vs Hikaru ShiraishiWon
Hikaru Shiraishi$147 @ 86.0¢
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.3¢
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Lost
Yes$222 @ 41.6¢
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.8¢
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.4¢
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Lost
Yes$10 @ 18.0¢
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.2¢
Will John Cowan be the Republican nominee for GA-11?Lost
No$2 @ 4.1¢
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 3.4¢
Will Charli XCX perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.3¢
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$13 @ 2.4¢
Will Kweisi Mfume be the Democratic nominee for MD-07?Lost
No$2 @ 1.5¢
Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 74.9¢
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Won
No$135 @ 87.5¢
Will Taylor Hall win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?Won
No$8 @ 75.0¢
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri LankaWon
West Indies$33 @ 58.0¢
Will Alabama win the 2026 College World Series?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
Will "Sweet Magnolias: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.8¢
Will Caleb Wilson be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.9¢
Will Ghana reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri LankaLost
Sri Lanka$124 @ 42.8¢
Will Jimmy Stanger win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?Lost
Yes$14 @ 16.9¢
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College World Series?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.6¢
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?Won
No$4 @ 72.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$11.9k	89.1¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$11.2k	94.2¢
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$6.4k	85.0¢
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?	Culture	No	$6.3k	84.3¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$4.8k	68.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$4.8k	93.3¢
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$3.7k	53.9¢
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$3.4k	64.0¢
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	Politics	Yes	$3.2k	44.7¢
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$3.1k	75.8¢
Will Saudi Arabia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$2.8k	90.9¢
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?	Politics	Yes	$2.8k	57.1¢
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$2.8k	39.3¢
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	Sports	No	$2.5k	94.4¢
Will North Carolina win the 2026 College World Series?	Sports	Yes	$2.3k	36.5¢
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Culture	Yes	$2.2k	78.5¢
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?	Sports	No	$2.1k	61.0¢
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	Sports	No	$2.0k	56.2¢
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$1.9k	91.8¢
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	—	No	$1.9k	92.5¢
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Sports	Yes	$1.9k	30.3¢
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$1.6k	67.5¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Other	Yes	$1.5k	42.4¢
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?	Politics	Yes	$1.5k	76.2¢
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	Yes	$1.3k	12.8¢
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?	Politics	Yes	$1.2k	86.5¢
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?	Sports	No	$1.2k	14.7¢
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Politics	No	$1.2k	89.8¢
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?	Politics	No	$1.2k	53.4¢
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1.2k	43.0¢

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$11.9k @ 89.1¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$11.2k @ 94.2¢
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$6.4k @ 85.0¢
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?Culture
No$6.3k @ 84.3¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$4.8k @ 68.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$4.8k @ 93.3¢
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$3.7k @ 53.9¢
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$3.4k @ 64.0¢
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Politics
Yes$3.2k @ 44.7¢
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$3.1k @ 75.8¢
Will Saudi Arabia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$2.8k @ 90.9¢
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?Politics
Yes$2.8k @ 57.1¢
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$2.8k @ 39.3¢
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Sports
No$2.5k @ 94.4¢
Will North Carolina win the 2026 College World Series?Sports
Yes$2.3k @ 36.5¢
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Culture
Yes$2.2k @ 78.5¢
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?Sports
No$2.1k @ 61.0¢
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Sports
No$2.0k @ 56.2¢
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$1.9k @ 91.8¢
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?—
No$1.9k @ 92.5¢
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Sports
Yes$1.9k @ 30.3¢
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$1.6k @ 67.5¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Other
Yes$1.5k @ 42.4¢
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Politics
Yes$1.5k @ 76.2¢
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Politics
Yes$1.3k @ 12.8¢
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?Politics
Yes$1.2k @ 86.5¢
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?Sports
No$1.2k @ 14.7¢
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics
No$1.2k @ 89.8¢
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?Politics
No$1.2k @ 53.4¢
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1.2k @ 43.0¢