← Smart money
0xef34…1d61
ProfitableEdge
+2.7pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
47% @ 44.8¢
Brier
0.184
Resolved
3502
Avg size
$13
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (802/1601) | +2% | 1601 |
| Sports | 59% (50/85) | +13% | 85 |
| Crypto | 70% (7/10) | +48% | 10 |
| Politics | 25% (2/8) | -81% | 8 |
| Economy | 50% (1/2) | +23% | 2 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +700% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +42% | 1 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +104% | 1 |
- Other1601 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (802/1601)
- ROI
- +2%
- Sports85 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (50/85)
- ROI
- +13%
- Crypto10 bets
- Hit rate
- 70% (7/10)
- ROI
- +48%
- Politics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (2/8)
- ROI
- -81%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +23%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +700%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +42%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +104%
Track record
51% hit · 865/1709- No$2 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
- Seahawks$301 @ 64.1¢
- Texans$20 @ 78.8¢
- No$13 @ 39.0¢
- No$44 @ 61.5¢
- No$161 @ 86.8¢
- Titans$44 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
- No$3 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 71.5¢
- Yes$65 @ 65.0¢
- No$10 @ 20.0¢
- Seahawks$11 @ 56.5¢
- Yes$42 @ 42.0¢
- No$37 @ 74.0¢
- No$33 @ 66.4¢
- Seahawks$39 @ 64.4¢
- No$28 @ 55.0¢
- No$31 @ 62.0¢
- 49ers$75 @ 28.0¢
- Seahawks$174 @ 87.0¢
- Colts$5 @ 49.0¢
- No$17 @ 86.0¢
- No$8 @ 76.0¢
- Rams$30 @ 50.3¢
- Yes$61 @ 61.0¢
- Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?WonYes$11 @ 36.0¢
- No$38 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$67 @ 66.0¢
- No$6 @ 30.0¢
- Dolphins$21 @ 71.0¢
- No$110 @ 73.0¢
- No$37 @ 74.0¢
- No$16 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 57.2¢
- Vikings$7 @ 36.0¢
- No$22 @ 74.0¢
- No$108 @ 54.0¢
- No$8 @ 83.0¢
- No$1 @ 82.0¢
- No$8 @ 75.0¢
- No$37 @ 73.0¢
- 90k$9 @ 15.0¢
- Falcons$31 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$39 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
- No$50 @ 84.0¢
- Panthers$47 @ 39.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$278 @ 69.5¢
- Yes$193 @ 56.5¢
- No$161 @ 80.7¢
- $140$159 @ 53.2¢
- No$150 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$103 @ 51.3¢
- No$80 @ 80.0¢
- No$70 @ 69.6¢
- Yes$51 @ 14.1¢
- Yes$32 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 15.7¢
- No$27 @ 28.2¢
- Yes$22 @ 22.0¢
- No$22 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 9.0¢
- No$18 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 8.4¢