← Smart money
0xef32…265c
ProfitableEdge
+15.5pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
83% @ 67.0¢
Brier
0.229
Resolved
40
Avg size
$201
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 71% (5/7) | +25% | 7 |
| Politics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +25% | 1 |
- Other7 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (5/7)
- ROI
- +25%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +25%
Track record
60% hit · 6/10| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30? | No | $524 | 78.5¢ | Lost |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29? | Yes | $22 | 36.0¢ | Won |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26? | No | $133 | 63.9¢ | Lost |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $1 | 80.0¢ | Won |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27? | Yes | $16 | 80.0¢ | Won |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26? | No | $3.7k | 64.6¢ | Won |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 27? | No | $1.4k | 88.0¢ | Won |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | $918 | 74.1¢ | Lost |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Yes | $400 | 17.9¢ | Lost |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 26? | No | $1.5k | 88.7¢ | Won |
- No$524 @ 78.5¢
- Yes$22 @ 36.0¢
- No$133 @ 63.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 80.0¢
- No$3.7k @ 64.6¢
- No$1.4k @ 88.0¢
- No$918 @ 74.1¢
- Yes$400 @ 17.9¢
- No$1.5k @ 88.7¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3? | — | No | $1.3k | 63.0¢ |
- No$1.3k @ 63.0¢