0xef2f…8b9c

Specialization by sphere

• Other18 bets

  Hit rate

  78% (14/18)

  ROI

  +16%

• Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?Won
  No$2.6k @ 56.8¢
• Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$500 @ 81.0¢
• Will a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?Won
  No$7.9k @ 83.0¢
• Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
  Yes$4.9k @ 28.0¢
• Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?Won
  Yes$250 @ 49.0¢
• Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$7.3k @ 83.6¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Lost
  No$200 @ 61.0¢
• Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$857 @ 56.6¢
• Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 32.9¢
• Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 89.0¢
• Will a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?Won
  Yes$24.9k @ 82.8¢
• Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?Won
  Yes$24.2k @ 82.6¢
• Will a Republican win Nebraska US Senate Election?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 82.5¢
• Will a Democrat win Florida US Senate Election?Won
  No$1.1k @ 82.5¢
• Senate control after 2024 election?Won
  Republicans$1000 @ 72.0¢
• Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Lost
  Yes$40 @ 14.0¢
• Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$2.5k @ 80.0¢
• Trump fires campaign manager? Won
  No$1000 @ 67.0¢