0xeec5…b6fe

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xeec50edede5d961efb02e20bfd3275dd1e7fb6fe
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-5.1pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

29% @ 33.8¢

Brier

0.136

Resolved

429

Avg size

$56

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	31% (9/29)	-28%	29
Sports	71% (10/14)	+65%	14
Tech	67% (2/3)	+69%	3
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+216%	2
Other	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+14%	1

Politics29 bets
Hit rate
31% (9/29)
ROI
-28%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
71% (10/14)
ROI
+65%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+69%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+216%
Other1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+14%

Track record

46% hit · 23/50

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$7.2k	84.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$376	12.5¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$130	65.0¢	Won
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	$7	73.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	No	$90	69.0¢	Lost
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$4	0.2¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$52	78.1¢	Won
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	$15	24.3¢	Lost
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$8	0.4¢	Lost
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$3	66.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$925	21.9¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$413	71.7¢	Lost
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$6	0.3¢	Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$1.0k	38.2¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$7	70.0¢	Won
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	$869	89.0¢	Won
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$27	1.7¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	$2.8k	47.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$1.5k	64.9¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$218	54.5¢	Won
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$6	0.3¢	Lost
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	$9	43.5¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	$439	87.7¢	Won
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$39	38.0¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$3.8k	72.2¢	Won
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$6	0.3¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$8	81.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.1k	75.9¢	Lost
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	$231	56.4¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$53	59.0¢	Lost
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$5	0.2¢	Lost
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$18	58.7¢	Won
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$9	0.9¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$5	58.0¢	Won
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?	Yes	$250	79.6¢	Won
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	$156	84.8¢	Won
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	$641	53.8¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$5	77.0¢	Lost
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	$61	60.0¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	No	$293	65.4¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	Yes	$19	50.5¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	$43	75.7¢	Won
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$10	53.0¢	Lost
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$8	0.4¢	Lost
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	$27	66.0¢	Won
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?	No	$10	78.0¢	Lost
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	No	$236	89.8¢	Won

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$7.2k @ 84.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$376 @ 12.5¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Won
Yes$130 @ 65.0¢
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionLost
Yes$7 @ 73.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?Lost
No$90 @ 69.0¢
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$52 @ 78.1¢
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Lost
Yes$15 @ 24.3¢
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.4¢
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
No$3 @ 66.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$925 @ 21.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$413 @ 71.7¢
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.3¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Lost
No$1.0k @ 38.2¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$7 @ 70.0¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Won
No$869 @ 89.0¢
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$27 @ 1.7¢
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Won
Yes$2.8k @ 47.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$1.5k @ 64.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$218 @ 54.5¢
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.3¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Lost
No$9 @ 43.5¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
No$439 @ 87.7¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$39 @ 38.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$3.8k @ 72.2¢
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.3¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$8 @ 81.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 75.9¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Won
No$231 @ 56.4¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$53 @ 59.0¢
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?Won
Yes$18 @ 58.7¢
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.9¢
Will England win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$5 @ 58.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Won
Yes$250 @ 79.6¢
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Won
No$156 @ 84.8¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$641 @ 53.8¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Lost
Yes$5 @ 77.0¢
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?Won
Yes$61 @ 60.0¢
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?Lost
No$293 @ 65.4¢
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?Won
Yes$19 @ 50.5¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Won
No$43 @ 75.7¢
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$10 @ 53.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.4¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Won
No$27 @ 66.0¢
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?Lost
No$10 @ 78.0¢
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Won
No$236 @ 89.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$3.8k	86.1¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Politics	No	$3.1k	71.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$2.3k	96.0¢
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	—	Yes	$1.9k	84.4¢
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1.4k	68.9¢
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Sports	No	$1.3k	88.7¢
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	Politics	No	$1.2k	90.8¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	Geopolitics	No	$1.2k	75.2¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1.1k	75.9¢
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	Politics	No	$1.0k	85.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1.0k	87.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$820	68.3¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Politics	No	$755	91.8¢
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$650	32.7¢
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Politics	No	$645	66.1¢
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?	—	No	$631	49.3¢
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?	Politics	No	$551	93.3¢
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?	Geopolitics	No	$511	93.0¢
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	Politics	No	$494	98.9¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?	Geopolitics	No	$463	95.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Politics	No	$455	95.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?	Geopolitics	No	$403	98.5¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Politics	No	$389	97.3¢
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?	—	Yes	$311	77.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$279	85.0¢
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?	Politics	No	$264	88.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Politics	Yes	$218	54.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$193	96.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$189	65.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$188	94.0¢

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Politics
Yes$3.8k @ 86.1¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics
No$3.1k @ 71.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$2.3k @ 96.0¢
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?—
Yes$1.9k @ 84.4¢
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Geopolitics
Yes$1.4k @ 68.9¢
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Sports
No$1.3k @ 88.7¢
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?Politics
No$1.2k @ 90.8¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Geopolitics
No$1.2k @ 75.2¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Geopolitics
Yes$1.1k @ 75.9¢
Yoon out of custody before 2027?Politics
No$1.0k @ 85.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
Yes$1.0k @ 87.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$820 @ 68.3¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Politics
No$755 @ 91.8¢
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Politics
Yes$650 @ 32.7¢
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Politics
No$645 @ 66.1¢
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?—
No$631 @ 49.3¢
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?Politics
No$551 @ 93.3¢
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?Geopolitics
No$511 @ 93.0¢
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Politics
No$494 @ 98.9¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Geopolitics
No$463 @ 95.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Politics
No$455 @ 95.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?Geopolitics
No$403 @ 98.5¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Politics
No$389 @ 97.3¢
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?—
Yes$311 @ 77.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$279 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?Politics
No$264 @ 88.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics
Yes$218 @ 54.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$193 @ 96.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$189 @ 65.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Politics
No$188 @ 94.0¢