0xeea7…d491

Specialization by sphere

• Other143 bets

  Hit rate

  69% (98/143)

  ROI

  +10%

• Politics17 bets

  Hit rate

  76% (13/17)

  ROI

  +25%

• Sports6 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (3/6)

  ROI

  +14%

• Geopolitics3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +5%

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Won
  No$5 @ 95.0¢
• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Won
  No$2 @ 80.5¢
• Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
  Yes$9 @ 85.0¢
• Pacers vs. BucksLost
  Pacers$1 @ 52.0¢
• Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?Won
  Yes$17 @ 59.6¢
• Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 45.0¢
• Hawks vs. MavericksWon
  Hawks$5 @ 75.0¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$25 @ 83.0¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 19.4¢
• Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?Won
  No$9 @ 89.0¢
• Fed rate cut by September meeting?Won
  Yes$2 @ 80.0¢
• Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Won
  No$2 @ 32.0¢
• Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 2.3¢
• French election called by October 31?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 7.1¢
• Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$52 @ 86.5¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$9 @ 87.0¢
• Wizards vs. CavaliersWon
  Cavaliers$8 @ 89.0¢
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
• Seahawks vs. PatriotsLost
  Patriots$3 @ 32.5¢
• Seahawks vs. PatriotsWon
  Seahawks$21 @ 73.1¢
• Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?Won
  Yes$5 @ 33.2¢
• Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?Won
  No$68 @ 73.6¢
• Bucks vs. SunsLost
  Suns$5 @ 83.0¢
• Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardWon
  Stefanos Tsitsipas$1 @ 89.0¢
• 76ers vs. JazzWon
  76ers$1 @ 67.0¢
• Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 87.0¢
• Timberwolves vs. RaptorsWon
  Timberwolves$5 @ 54.0¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
  No$3 @ 65.9¢
• Cavaliers vs. BucksLost
  Cavaliers$2 @ 61.0¢
• Bulls vs. WizardsWon
  Bulls$2 @ 70.0¢
• Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Won
  Yes$5 @ 24.3¢
• Kings vs. CelticsLost
  Kings$1 @ 20.0¢
• French election called by December 31?Won
  No$40 @ 81.8¢
• Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?Won
  No$1 @ 88.0¢
• Spurs vs. LakersWon
  Spurs$2 @ 83.0¢
• Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 33.0¢
• Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 88.0¢
• Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 8.4¢
• Trail Blazers vs. 76ersLost
  Trail Blazers$8 @ 76.0¢
• Celtics vs. MavericksLost
  Mavericks$2 @ 30.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Won
  No$4 @ 54.2¢
• Kings vs. PelicansWon
  Pelicans$2 @ 78.0¢
• Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?Won
  Yes$3 @ 64.0¢
• Panick in the White HouseLost
  Yes$4 @ 13.6¢
• Government shutdown on Saturday?Lost
  Yes$21 @ 68.3¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 36.7¢
• Timberwolves vs. WarriorsWon
  Timberwolves$4 @ 65.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
  No$9 @ 62.9¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Won
  Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
• Mavericks vs. SunsWon
  Suns$5 @ 86.0¢

Current positions

• Macron out by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$423 @ 93.1¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$55 @ 84.8¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$33 @ 81.7¢
• Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics
  No$29 @ 95.3¢
• Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics
  No$28 @ 91.8¢
• Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$27 @ 88.6¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$26 @ 75.6¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$18 @ 36.8¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$12 @ 82.0¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
  No$10 @ 69.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$8 @ 81.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$8 @ 81.0¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$7 @ 73.0¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$7 @ 72.0¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$6 @ 58.6¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$5 @ 93.0¢
• Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Sports
  No$4 @ 86.0¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 33.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$3 @ 57.0¢