0xee67…fd6d

Specialization by sphere

• Other15 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (10/15)

  ROI

  +37%

• Geopolitics6 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (5/6)

  ROI

  +17%

• Politics4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +30%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +167%

• Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$69 @ 6.2¢
• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Won
  No$202 @ 81.0¢
• Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?Won
  No$11 @ 89.0¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$4.6k @ 76.4¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$180 @ 70.9¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$2.5k @ 37.4¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Won
  No$420 @ 84.0¢
• Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  No$3.2k @ 78.9¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
  No$1.1k @ 87.4¢
• Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
  No$5.7k @ 76.9¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
  No$525 @ 89.0¢
• Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?Lost
  Yes$33 @ 9.8¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
  No$2.4k @ 77.9¢
• Will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
• Will Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt) (MKKP) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  No$43 @ 87.9¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Won
  No$296 @ 85.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Won
  No$858 @ 73.3¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 20.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Won
  Yes$1 @ 80.0¢
• Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
  No$566 @ 22.8¢
• Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$99 @ 77.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Won
  Yes$68 @ 68.0¢
• Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 44.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Won
  No$771 @ 85.7¢
• Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 0.2¢

Current positions

• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$2.0k @ 85.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Geopolitics
  No$2.0k @ 97.9¢
• Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$1.7k @ 80.3¢
• Netanyahu out by July 31?Politics
  No$1.6k @ 94.9¢
• Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Politics
  No$1.5k @ 92.3¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics
  No$1.2k @ 48.9¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$726 @ 98.7¢
• Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$350 @ 64.2¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Politics
  No$344 @ 95.5¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
  No$281 @ 32.1¢
• Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Politics
  Yes$186 @ 92.5¢
• Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Politics
  Yes$1 @ 1.9¢