0xee67…fd6d

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics24 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (20/24)

  ROI

  +25%

• Other19 bets

  Hit rate

  74% (14/19)

  ROI

  +37%

• Geopolitics9 bets

  Hit rate

  89% (8/9)

  ROI

  +11%

• Sports3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  -68%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +167%

• World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?Won
  Yes$94 @ 93.7¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  Yes$726 @ 98.7¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$513 @ 85.0¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Lost
  No$0 @ 26.0¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?Won
  Yes$284 @ 71.0¢
• Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  Yes$340 @ 84.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Won
  No$208 @ 90.0¢
• Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Won
  Yes$182 @ 91.0¢
• Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
  No$267 @ 94.5¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Won
  No$344 @ 95.5¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Won
  No$365 @ 91.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$467 @ 93.5¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Lost
  No$150 @ 42.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Won
  No$276 @ 92.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Won
  No$522 @ 87.0¢
• Netanyahu out by July 31?Won
  No$1.6k @ 94.9¢
• Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Won
  Yes$50 @ 24.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Won
  No$2.0k @ 97.9¢
• Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Lost
  No$873 @ 87.2¢
• Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Won
  Yes$64 @ 65.0¢
• Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Won
  Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Won
  No$0 @ 0.0¢
• Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Won
  Yes$186 @ 92.5¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Won
  No$1.2k @ 48.9¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$980 @ 98.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
  No$95 @ 63.4¢
• Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Won
  No$1.5k @ 92.3¢
• Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Won
  No$98 @ 98.1¢
• Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$69 @ 6.2¢
• Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?Won
  No$11 @ 89.0¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
  No$165 @ 47.4¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$180 @ 70.9¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$2.5k @ 37.4¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Won
  No$420 @ 84.0¢
• Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  No$3.2k @ 78.9¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
  No$1.1k @ 87.4¢
• Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Won
  No$5.7k @ 76.9¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
  No$525 @ 89.0¢
• Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?Lost
  Yes$33 @ 9.8¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
  No$2.4k @ 77.9¢
• Will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
• Will Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt) (MKKP) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  No$43 @ 87.9¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Won
  No$296 @ 85.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Won
  No$858 @ 73.3¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 20.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Won
  Yes$1 @ 80.0¢
• Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
  No$566 @ 22.8¢
• Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$99 @ 77.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Won
  Yes$68 @ 68.0¢

Current positions

• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$3.0k @ 89.8¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$2.6k @ 85.5¢
• Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?—
  No$1.5k @ 83.3¢
• Ebola pandemic in 2026?Science
  No$742 @ 96.2¢
• Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$645 @ 90.1¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$465 @ 93.0¢
• Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$175 @ 92.5¢
• Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?—
  No$11 @ 32.4¢
• Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$1 @ 50.5¢