0xee67…fd6d

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other127 bets

  Hit rate

  68% (86/127)

  ROI

  +10%

• Politics38 bets

  Hit rate

  79% (30/38)

  ROI

  +19%

• Geopolitics12 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (9/12)

  ROI

  +1%

• Sports4 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (2/4)

  ROI

  -71%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +167%

• Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?Lost
  No$26 @ 86.0¢
• Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$69 @ 6.2¢
• FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?Won
  Yes$720 @ 65.2¢
• Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Lost
  Yes$98 @ 7.6¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
  Yes$32 @ 5.0¢
• Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?Won
  No$390 @ 69.1¢
• Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?Lost
  Yes$78 @ 64.8¢
• Israel declares war on Iran in October?Won
  No$146 @ 81.8¢
• Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Lost
  No$492 @ 82.0¢
• Will Circle IPO in 2024?Won
  No$502 @ 76.0¢
• Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?Won
  Yes$21 @ 23.0¢
• Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Lost
  No$9 @ 1.5¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
  No$229 @ 76.2¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
  Yes$38 @ 25.9¢
• Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?Won
  No$11 @ 89.0¢
• U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?Won
  Yes$34 @ 75.9¢
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
  No$622 @ 85.8¢
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
  No$145 @ 42.0¢
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
  No$165 @ 47.4¢
• Will there be a 269-269 tie in Electoral College?Won
  No$492 @ 88.0¢
• Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?Won
  No$20 @ 69.5¢
• Will Uzbekistan win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?Won
  No$134 @ 89.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Lost
  Yes$112 @ 46.6¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$4.6k @ 76.4¢
• Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?Won
  No$131 @ 89.5¢
• Pump.fun banned in the US before 2025?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 3.0¢
• Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Won
  No$124 @ 82.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$180 @ 70.9¢
• 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' record September opening?Won
  No$239 @ 79.7¢
• Crimean bridge hit before October?Won
  No$163 @ 81.5¢
• Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$127 @ 38.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 2.3¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$2.5k @ 37.4¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Lost
  Yes$201 @ 31.0¢
• Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?Won
  No$233 @ 81.1¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Won
  No$420 @ 84.0¢
• German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Won
  Yes$0 @ 17.0¢
• Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?Won
  No$504 @ 72.0¢
• Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
  No$3.2k @ 78.9¢
• Base airdrop in 2024?Won
  No$268 @ 84.3¢
• Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI Won
  No$858 @ 89.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
  No$1.1k @ 87.4¢
• Will Trump say "Barron" during the X space?Lost
  No$4 @ 14.4¢
• Solana ETF approved by July 31?Lost
  No$199 @ 35.3¢
• Will Binance list $DEGEN in 2024?Won
  No$279 @ 79.0¢
• Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Nevada rally?Lost
  Yes$29 @ 9.8¢
• Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
• Ethereum all time high in 2024?Won
  No$175 @ 77.0¢
• Will Hailey Welch apologize by Friday?Won
  No$26 @ 85.0¢
• Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?Won
  No$597 @ 85.3¢

Current positions

• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$2.8k @ 85.9¢
• Viktor Orbán arrested by...?Politics
  No$2.1k @ 83.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$1.8k @ 91.5¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$1.5k @ 84.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$1.4k @ 94.9¢
• Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$1.3k @ 89.7¢
• Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 96.9¢
• Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$845 @ 95.1¢
• Will Viktor Orbán be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Politics
  No$838 @ 93.1¢
• Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics
  No$534 @ 89.0¢
• Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?Politics
  No$180 @ 60.0¢
• Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$1 @ 50.5¢