0xedd9…4d7f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xedd9847ef50c95e39b9942a3082e73577d094d7f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.9pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

61% @ 48.6¢

Brier

0.218

Resolved

109

Avg size

$147

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	56% (35/63)	+6%	63
Sports	100% (4/4)	+153%	4
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other63 bets
Hit rate
56% (35/63)
ROI
+6%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+153%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

56% hit · 39/70

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	No	$1.0k	57.7¢	Lost
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5	Over	$10	79.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)	Gen.G	$100	40.0¢	Won
Valorant: NOVO Esports vs Otakar Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffs	Otakar Esports	$100	42.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	PARIVISION	$500	83.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$150	86.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$100	29.0¢	Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	Yes	$100	30.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$300	43.8¢	Lost
Map Handicap: PL (-1.5) vs VR2 (+1.5)	Pixel Lumina	$500	52.2¢	Won
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$53	53.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	$50	12.0¢	Lost
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?	No	$100	89.0¢	Lost
O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	$100	57.0¢	Won
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	$247	24.5¢	Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$100	8.0¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	Yes	$100	7.0¢	Lost
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5	Over	$100	43.0¢	Won
Raptors vs. Suns	Suns	$10	45.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: USE (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)	Verdant	$10	50.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: 4Pirates vs Power Rangers (BO3)	Power Rangers	$99	78.7¢	Won
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Anyones Legend	$1000	86.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)	Bilibili Gaming	$119	54.6¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	G2 Esports	$10	58.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	$100	38.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	$50	32.8¢	Won
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?	No	$40	1.8¢	Lost
Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	BBL Esports	$100	54.0¢	Lost
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$100	6.1¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	$50	41.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	$1000	81.2¢	Won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5	Over	$100	47.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$200	48.3¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	No	$50	78.1¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner	ASTRAL	$10	25.9¢	Lost
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$1	73.0¢	Lost
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Beijing Ducks	$100	88.9¢	Lost
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	$103	35.2¢	Won
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?	Yes	$100	6.2¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	$1	81.0¢	Lost
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stage	Natus Vincere	$1000	82.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	No	$100	80.0¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	Yes	$100	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 25?	Yes	$60	40.9¢	Won
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2	TheMongolz	$61	65.0¢	Won
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)	NRG	$10	50.0¢	Won
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians	Delhi Capitals	$100	39.0¢	Won
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	No	$104	10.6¢	Lost
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	$101	56.6¢	Lost
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B	The Otter Side	$514	37.6¢	Won

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Lost
No$1.0k @ 57.7¢
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Won
Over$10 @ 79.0¢
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)Won
Gen.G$100 @ 40.0¢
Valorant: NOVO Esports vs Otakar Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 PlayoffsWon
Otakar Esports$100 @ 42.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageWon
PARIVISION$500 @ 83.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
No$150 @ 86.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 29.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Won
Yes$100 @ 30.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$300 @ 43.8¢
Map Handicap: PL (-1.5) vs VR2 (+1.5)Won
Pixel Lumina$500 @ 52.2¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$53 @ 53.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Lost
Yes$50 @ 12.0¢
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?Lost
No$100 @ 89.0¢
O/U 1.5 RoundsWon
Under$100 @ 57.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Lost
No$247 @ 24.5¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$100 @ 8.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Lost
Yes$100 @ 7.0¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Won
Over$100 @ 43.0¢
Raptors vs. SunsWon
Suns$10 @ 45.0¢
Game Handicap: USE (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)Lost
Verdant$10 @ 50.0¢
Dota 2: 4Pirates vs Power Rangers (BO3)Won
Power Rangers$99 @ 78.7¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLost
Anyones Legend$1000 @ 86.0¢
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)Won
Bilibili Gaming$119 @ 54.6¢
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerWon
G2 Esports$10 @ 58.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Won
Yes$100 @ 38.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Won
Yes$50 @ 32.8¢
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?Lost
No$40 @ 1.8¢
Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaLost
BBL Esports$100 @ 54.0¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Lost
Yes$100 @ 6.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Won
Yes$50 @ 41.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageWon
TheMongolz$1000 @ 81.2¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Won
Over$100 @ 47.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$200 @ 48.3¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Won
No$50 @ 78.1¢
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerLost
ASTRAL$10 @ 25.9¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$1 @ 73.0¢
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Beijing DucksLost
Beijing Ducks$100 @ 88.9¢
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Won
Yes$103 @ 35.2¢
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?Lost
Yes$100 @ 6.2¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsLost
Aurora Gaming$1 @ 81.0¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group StageWon
Natus Vincere$1000 @ 82.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Won
No$100 @ 80.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Lost
Yes$100 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 25?Won
Yes$60 @ 40.9¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Won
TheMongolz$61 @ 65.0¢
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)Won
NRG$10 @ 50.0¢
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai IndiansWon
Delhi Capitals$100 @ 39.0¢
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?Lost
No$104 @ 10.6¢
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Lost
No$101 @ 56.6¢
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BWon
The Otter Side$514 @ 37.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$184	87.9¢
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$100	42.8¢

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$184 @ 87.9¢
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$100 @ 42.8¢