0xedcc…4d5e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xedcc034e6b489fc3fb958e623b4dd78421f44d5e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.4pp

ROI

+176%

Win rate

5% @ 1.6¢

Brier

0.041

Resolved

1585

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	7% (20/269)	+211%	269
Politics	27% (3/11)	+65%	11
Sports	0% (0/7)	-100%	7
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other269 bets
Hit rate
7% (20/269)
ROI
+211%
Politics11 bets
Hit rate
27% (3/11)
ROI
+65%
Sports7 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/7)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

8% hit · 23/290

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 28?	Down	$25	10.9¢	Lost
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 28?	Up	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 24?	Down	$100	10.0¢	Lost
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 Winner	XLG Gaming	$7	0.5¢	Lost
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Cyber Hero vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division	Cyber Hero	$4	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11?	Yes	$2	1.3¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 3.5	Under	$3	1.0¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	$3	0.4¢	Lost
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)	Cincinnati Reds	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Magic vs Cyber Hero (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st Division	Cyber Hero	$1	0.2¢	Lost
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5	Over	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 27?	No	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?	No	$4	1.0¢	Lost
Will Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Bilibili Gaming	$53	2.0¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	$2	0.3¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Valorant: Trace Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2	Trace Esports	$6	0.5¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	$4	1.6¢	Lost
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$46	2.3¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)	Pittsburgh Pirates	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 10?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	No	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs	Phantom	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 13.5	Under	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3?	Yes	$0	7.0¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	$12	0.1¢	Lost
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5	Under	$23	0.6¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 1?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 1 Winner	magic	$1	0.4¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 21?	Yes	$23	9.0¢	Lost
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on April 22?	No	$100	16.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 24?	No	$11	11.0¢	Lost
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage	100 Thieves	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 10?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Regular Season	Vitality.Bee	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Dragon Ranger Gaming (-7.5) vs XLG Gaming (+7.5)	XLG Gaming	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 30?	No	$1	2.5¢	Lost
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?	Yes	$2	3.4¢	Won
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Team Vamos (BO7) - MPL Malaysia Playoffs	Team Vamos	$1	0.2¢	Lost

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 28?Lost
Down$25 @ 10.9¢
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 28?Lost
Up$1 @ 11.0¢
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 24?Lost
Down$100 @ 10.0¢
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 WinnerLost
XLG Gaming$7 @ 0.5¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Cyber Hero vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st DivisionLost
Cyber Hero$4 @ 0.1¢
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$2 @ 0.1¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$3 @ 1.0¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$3 @ 0.4¢
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Lost
Cincinnati Reds$5 @ 0.1¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Magic vs Cyber Hero (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends 1st DivisionLost
Cyber Hero$1 @ 0.2¢
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Lost
Over$20 @ 0.1¢
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 27?Lost
No$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?Lost
No$4 @ 1.0¢
Will Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$1 @ 0.1¢
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1Won
Bilibili Gaming$53 @ 2.0¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$2 @ 0.3¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Solana reach $100 in April?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Valorant: Trace Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2Lost
Trace Esports$6 @ 0.5¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$4 @ 1.6¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$46 @ 2.3¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of April 27 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Lost
Pittsburgh Pirates$3 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 10?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?Lost
No$0 @ 0.3¢
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 PlayoffsLost
Phantom$1 @ 0.2¢
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 13.5Lost
Under$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will MrBeast's video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 7.0¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$12 @ 0.1¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Lost
Under$23 @ 0.6¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 1?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 1 WinnerLost
magic$1 @ 0.4¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 21?Lost
Yes$23 @ 9.0¢
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on April 22?Lost
No$100 @ 16.7¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 24?Lost
No$11 @ 11.0¢
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group StageLost
100 Thieves$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on April 10?Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Regular SeasonLost
Vitality.Bee$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-12?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Dragon Ranger Gaming (-7.5) vs XLG Gaming (+7.5)Lost
XLG Gaming$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 30?Lost
No$1 @ 2.5¢
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?Won
Yes$2 @ 3.4¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Team Vamos (BO7) - MPL Malaysia PlayoffsLost
Team Vamos$1 @ 0.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Trump renames AI by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$257	64.2¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?	Politics	No	$212	48.0¢

Trump renames AI by October 31?Politics
Yes$257 @ 64.2¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?Politics
No$212 @ 48.0¢