0xed7c…98ec

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xed7c7d6fd22265469e3d2c8efdec4674e1ca98ec
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+27.7pp

ROI

+66%

Win rate

84% @ 56.1¢

Brier

0.145

Resolved

111

Avg size

$53

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Tech	60% (15/25)	+66%	25
Other	67% (4/6)	+72%	6

Tech25 bets
Hit rate
60% (15/25)
ROI
+66%
Other6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+72%

Track record

61% hit · 19/31

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?	Yes	$20	50.0¢	Won
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$45	81.0¢	Won
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	$30	74.0¢	Won
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	Yes	$175	44.1¢	Won
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	61.9¢	Won
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	Yes	$20	80.5¢	Won
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	$20	86.0¢	Won
Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	$566	35.0¢	Won
Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	$49	30.9¢	Lost
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	19.0¢	Lost
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	$162	76.5¢	Won
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	$104	78.8¢	Won
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	$23	19.0¢	Lost
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 23, 2026?	No	$101	86.0¢	Won
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 23, 2026?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Lost
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	$45	67.2¢	Won
Next Google Gemini Flash Model released by August 13, 2026?	Yes	$50	88.1¢	Won
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	$8	9.0¢	Lost
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	Yes	$8	15.7¢	Lost
SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	40.0¢	Lost
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$18	43.9¢	Won
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	76.0¢	Won
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$88	85.0¢	Won
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$15	66.0¢	Won
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	55.2¢	Won
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	6.0¢	Lost
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	$10	69.0¢	Won
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	44.0¢	Lost
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 25, 2026?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Lost
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	$2	14.0¢	Lost
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	47.1¢	Lost

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?Won
Yes$20 @ 50.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$45 @ 81.0¢
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?Won
Yes$30 @ 74.0¢
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Won
Yes$175 @ 44.1¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?Won
Yes$1.9k @ 61.9¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?Won
Yes$20 @ 80.5¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 86.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?Won
No$566 @ 35.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$49 @ 30.9¢
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 19.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Won
No$162 @ 76.5¢
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 9, 2026?Won
Yes$104 @ 78.8¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$23 @ 19.0¢
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 23, 2026?Won
No$101 @ 86.0¢
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?Won
No$45 @ 67.2¢
Next Google Gemini Flash Model released by August 13, 2026?Won
Yes$50 @ 88.1¢
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?Lost
No$8 @ 9.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 15.7¢
SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 30, 2026?Won
Yes$18 @ 43.9¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 76.0¢
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Won
Yes$88 @ 85.0¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Won
Yes$15 @ 66.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 55.2¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 69.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 44.0¢
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 14.0¢
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 47.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$42	42.6¢
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$33	63.7¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$30	73.0¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$26	65.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$12	54.0¢
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$12	50.0¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$5	27.0¢

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$42 @ 42.6¢
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$33 @ 63.7¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$30 @ 73.0¢
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$26 @ 65.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Tech
Yes$12 @ 54.0¢
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$12 @ 50.0¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$5 @ 27.0¢