0xed0c…5e23

Specialization by sphere

• Other74 bets

  Hit rate

  64% (47/74)

  ROI

  +19%

• Crypto9 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (6/9)

  ROI

  +200%

• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Won
  No$16 @ 82.0¢
• Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Won
  Yes$129 @ 53.9¢
• Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Won
  Yes$343 @ 69.2¢
• Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?Lost
  Yes$94 @ 23.5¢
• Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Won
  No$543 @ 50.3¢
• Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Lost
  Yes$350 @ 35.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Won
  Yes$326 @ 79.5¢
• Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?Won
  Yes$170 @ 24.3¢
• Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?Won
  No$74 @ 26.3¢
• Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Lost
  Yes$385 @ 14.4¢
• Angels vs. BrewersWon
  Brewers$65 @ 65.0¢
• Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by September 30? Won
  No$250 @ 78.8¢
• Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?Won
  No$196 @ 42.5¢
• Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?Won
  Yes$94 @ 63.4¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
  No$496 @ 62.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
  No$1.4k @ 71.0¢
• Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?Lost
  No$45 @ 34.9¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Won
  Yes$237 @ 85.9¢
• Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?Won
  Yes$110 @ 73.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Won
  No$166 @ 83.0¢
• Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Won
  Yes$76 @ 63.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Won
  No$314 @ 73.6¢
• Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Won
  Yes$854 @ 85.4¢
• Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?Lost
  No$17 @ 52.0¢
• Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Lost
  Yes$139 @ 7.6¢
• Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?Won
  No$108 @ 68.0¢
• Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$30 @ 43.6¢
• Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Lost
  Yes$16 @ 2.2¢
• Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?Lost
  Yes$22 @ 36.0¢
• Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?Won
  No$2.5k @ 85.0¢
• Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?Lost
  Yes$111 @ 61.7¢
• Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 82.7¢
• Will Cap launch a token by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$77 @ 3.9¢
• Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchWon
  Yes$455 @ 58.0¢
• Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Lost
  No$347 @ 69.3¢
• Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 0.1¢
• Will Solana reach $200 in July?Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 67.8¢
• AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Won
  No$427 @ 70.0¢
• AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Lost
  Yes$24 @ 29.0¢
• Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Won
  No$87 @ 87.0¢
• Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026?Lost
  No$51 @ 17.0¢
• Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
  Yes$252 @ 88.0¢
• Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Won
  No$185 @ 35.8¢
• TikTok sale announced by October 31?Won
  No$1.2k @ 87.0¢
• Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?Won
  No$232 @ 58.4¢
• Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?Lost
  No$116 @ 68.3¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberWon
  Yes$1.1k @ 75.0¢
• Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Won
  No$81 @ 81.0¢
• Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?Won
  No$158 @ 74.1¢
• Will Stable launch a token in 2025?Lost
  No$134 @ 5.8¢

Current positions

• Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?Crypto
  Yes$254 @ 84.8¢
• Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$129 @ 27.0¢
• Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto
  Yes$74 @ 74.0¢