0xebb7…ac1d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xebb71360897bcb65857d437e77f802c77f68ac1d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.8pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

39% @ 33.0¢

Brier

0.218

Resolved

389

Avg size

$49

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	53% (18/34)	+15%	34
Sports	50% (1/2)	-9%	2
Politics	100% (1/1)	+16%	1

Other34 bets
Hit rate
53% (18/34)
ROI
+15%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-9%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+16%

Track record

54% hit · 20/37

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$43	86.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$512	25.5¢	Lost
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	No	$12.6k	79.9¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?	Yes	$16	79.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	$23	75.0¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	$46	83.0¢	Won
Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?	No	$26	88.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	No	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	$48	12.0¢	Lost
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?	Yes	$11	54.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	$181	84.5¢	Won
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?	No	$90	85.8¢	Won
Will Solana reach $160 in October?	Yes	$94	47.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	$1.1k	26.7¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$35	7.0¢	Won
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	$2	4.0¢	Lost
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?	Yes	$364	31.0¢	Lost
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	$18	73.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $4,000.00 in December?	Yes	$84	84.0¢	Won
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?	No	$190	19.0¢	Lost
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?	Yes	$82	82.0¢	Won
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	Yes	$5	42.0¢	Lost
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?	No	$8	32.0¢	Won
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?	No	$22	21.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?	Yes	$569	70.0¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?	Yes	$4	2.2¢	Lost
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?	Yes	$35	15.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?	Yes	$5	37.6¢	Won
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	Yes	$454	84.9¢	Lost
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	$1.9k	27.7¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$11	54.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?	No	$19	63.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?	Yes	$105	21.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?	Yes	$93	57.1¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?	No	$316	58.8¢	Lost
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	$14	9.0¢	Lost
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?	Yes	$13	84.0¢	Won

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
No$43 @ 86.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$512 @ 25.5¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
No$12.6k @ 79.9¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Won
Yes$16 @ 79.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Won
No$23 @ 75.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$46 @ 83.0¢
Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?Won
No$26 @ 88.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? Won
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? Lost
Yes$48 @ 12.0¢
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?Lost
Yes$11 @ 54.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?Won
No$181 @ 84.5¢
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Won
No$90 @ 85.8¢
Will Solana reach $160 in October? Won
Yes$94 @ 47.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 26.7¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$35 @ 7.0¢
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Lost
Yes$364 @ 31.0¢
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
Yes$18 @ 73.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $4,000.00 in December?Won
Yes$84 @ 84.0¢
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Lost
No$190 @ 19.0¢
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Won
Yes$82 @ 82.0¢
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Lost
Yes$5 @ 42.0¢
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Won
No$8 @ 32.0¢
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Lost
No$22 @ 21.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Lost
Yes$569 @ 70.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.2¢
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Lost
Yes$35 @ 15.9¢
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Won
Yes$5 @ 37.6¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Lost
Yes$454 @ 84.9¢
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 27.7¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$11 @ 54.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? Lost
No$19 @ 63.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? Won
Yes$105 @ 21.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Lost
Yes$93 @ 57.1¢
Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?Lost
No$316 @ 58.8¢
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Lost
Yes$14 @ 9.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$13 @ 84.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$89	69.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$49	63.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$26	58.2¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$21	92.0¢
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$18	94.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$7	84.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$6	84.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$6	75.7¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$89 @ 69.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$49 @ 63.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$26 @ 58.2¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$21 @ 92.0¢
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$18 @ 94.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$7 @ 84.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$6 @ 84.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$6 @ 75.7¢