0xebb4…1576

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xebb4ac7a0eb77e9976a30c382552bbf5d4691576
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+26.7pp

ROI

+49%

Win rate

75% @ 48.7¢

Brier

0.201

Resolved

Avg size

$10

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	63% (19/30)	+48%	30
Tech	50% (1/2)	+102%	2

Other30 bets
Hit rate
63% (19/30)
ROI
+48%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+102%

Track record

63% hit · 20/32

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?	Yes	$2	22.6¢	Lost
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	$26	38.2¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by November 30?	No	$24	67.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?	Yes	$60	70.5¢	Won
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	$11	54.0¢	Lost
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?	No	$11	55.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 24?	Yes	$5	52.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?	No	$116	68.1¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?	Yes	$3	17.5¢	Lost
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?	Yes	$5	6.3¢	Lost
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	No	$21	55.0¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24?	Yes	$8	39.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	$2	40.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	$17	55.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?	No	$13	26.0¢	Won
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	$1	9.5¢	Lost
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	$27	68.5¢	Won
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	$21	48.9¢	Lost
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 7?	No	$1	42.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?	No	$16	82.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?	Yes	$2	50.0¢	Won
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	$10	12.3¢	Lost
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?	No	$7	37.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?	Yes	$52	51.6¢	Won
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?	Yes	$21	29.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by December 31?	No	$8	71.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?	No	$126	61.9¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?	Yes	$9	33.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?	Yes	$11	63.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?	Yes	$5	23.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy explode?	Yes	$45	81.7¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?	Yes	$11	56.0¢	Won

Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Lost
Yes$2 @ 22.6¢
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?Won
Yes$26 @ 38.2¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by November 30?Won
No$24 @ 67.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?Won
Yes$60 @ 70.5¢
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Lost
Yes$11 @ 54.0¢
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?Won
No$11 @ 55.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 24?Lost
Yes$5 @ 52.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?Won
No$116 @ 68.1¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?Lost
Yes$3 @ 17.5¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.3¢
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Won
No$21 @ 55.0¢
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24?Lost
Yes$8 @ 39.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Won
No$2 @ 40.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Lost
Yes$17 @ 55.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?Won
No$13 @ 26.0¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.5¢
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?Won
Yes$27 @ 68.5¢
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Lost
Yes$21 @ 48.9¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 7?Won
No$1 @ 42.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?Won
No$16 @ 82.0¢
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Won
Yes$2 @ 50.0¢
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Lost
Yes$10 @ 12.3¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?Lost
No$7 @ 37.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?Won
Yes$52 @ 51.6¢
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Won
Yes$21 @ 29.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by December 31?Won
No$8 @ 71.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?Won
No$126 @ 61.9¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?Lost
Yes$9 @ 33.0¢
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?Won
Yes$11 @ 63.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Won
Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy explode?Won
Yes$45 @ 81.7¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?Won
Yes$11 @ 56.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	Tech	Yes	$74	58.9¢
Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	Tech	Yes	$47	42.6¢
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$17	35.0¢
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?	Tech	Yes	$13	63.0¢

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?Tech
Yes$74 @ 58.9¢
Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Tech
Yes$47 @ 42.6¢
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$17 @ 35.0¢
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Tech
Yes$13 @ 63.0¢