← Smart money
0xeb81…423a
SharpEdge
-16.1pp
ROI
+37%
Win rate
14% @ 29.8¢
Brier
0.150
Resolved
233
Avg size
$36
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 20% (2/10) | -24% | 10 |
| Politics | 33% (2/6) | +74% | 6 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +452% | 1 |
- Other10 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (2/10)
- ROI
- -24%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (2/6)
- ROI
- +74%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +452%
Track record
26% hit · 5/19- Yes$23 @ 7.6¢
- Yes$747 @ 31.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$23 @ 0.4¢
- No$1.4k @ 28.0¢
- Yes$177 @ 12.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$797 @ 18.1¢
- No$42 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$112 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 16.3¢
- Yes$560 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 30.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 46.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.4¢
- No$122 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$70 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$36 @ 0.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | No | $1.1k | 92.2¢ |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $368 | 80.8¢ |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Economy | Yes | $144 | 18.0¢ |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $70 | 64.0¢ |
- No$1.1k @ 92.2¢
- Yes$368 @ 80.8¢
- Yes$144 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$70 @ 64.0¢