← Smart money
0xeb7f…e4d2
ProfitableSniperEdge
-26.0pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
5% @ 30.6¢
Brier
0.102
Resolved
44
Avg size
$56
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 25% (1/4) | +5% | 4 |
| Politics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- +5%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
17% hit · 1/6| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $4 | 0.1¢ | Lost |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | $4 | 0.1¢ | Lost |
| Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | $7 | 0.1¢ | Lost |
| Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $6 | 0.1¢ | Lost |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Heat | $889 | 34.0¢ | Lost |
| Jazz vs. Kings | Kings | $1.5k | 60.0¢ | Won |
- Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
- Heat$889 @ 34.0¢
- Kings$1.5k @ 60.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Culture | No | $1 | 98.0¢ |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $1 | 96.0¢ |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | — | No | $1 | 97.4¢ |
- No$1 @ 98.0¢
- No$1 @ 96.0¢
- No$1 @ 97.4¢