← Smart money
0xeb68…e362
SharpEdge
+5.5pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
39% @ 33.1¢
Brier
0.125
Resolved
445
Avg size
$4
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 20% (571/2849) | +8% | 2849 |
| Science | 13% (133/1010) | +7% | 1010 |
| Politics | 16% (13/79) | -19% | 79 |
| Sports | 57% (16/28) | +7% | 28 |
| Culture | 24% (4/17) | -43% | 17 |
| Economy | 47% (7/15) | -42% | 15 |
| Geopolitics | 29% (2/7) | -4% | 7 |
| Tech | 20% (1/5) | -64% | 5 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other2849 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (571/2849)
- ROI
- +8%
- Science1010 bets
- Hit rate
- 13% (133/1010)
- ROI
- +7%
- Politics79 bets
- Hit rate
- 16% (13/79)
- ROI
- -19%
- Sports28 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (16/28)
- ROI
- +7%
- Culture17 bets
- Hit rate
- 24% (4/17)
- ROI
- -43%
- Economy15 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (7/15)
- ROI
- -42%
- Geopolitics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (2/7)
- ROI
- -4%
- Tech5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- -64%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
19% hit · 747/4011- No$0 @ 6.0¢
- No$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.9¢
- No$2 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 69.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
- No$4 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 12.0¢
- No$7 @ 87.0¢
- No$10 @ 74.3¢
- No$13 @ 73.4¢
- Yes$19 @ 42.7¢
- No$2 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.9¢
- No$21 @ 67.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
- No$18 @ 56.1¢
- Yes$47 @ 36.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- No$43 @ 33.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
- No$2 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 12.3¢
- No$46 @ 41.5¢
- No$6 @ 38.8¢
- Yes$28 @ 55.8¢
- No$10 @ 60.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- No$36 @ 8.1¢
- No$4 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.5¢
- No$4 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 81.0¢
- No$1 @ 18.0¢
- No$5 @ 37.9¢
- Yes$13 @ 64.3¢
- No$23 @ 71.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 80.0¢
- No$50 @ 2.9¢
- No$1 @ 4.1¢
- No$6 @ 42.4¢
- No$4 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?CultureYes$773 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$408 @ 19.9¢
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30?CultureYes$394 @ 20.0¢
- No$94 @ 27.1¢
- Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$62 @ 87.5¢
- No$48 @ 90.2¢
- Yes$38 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$38 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$38 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$37 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$37 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$37 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$37 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$37 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$37 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$37 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$37 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$37 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$35 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$35 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$35 @ 3.1¢
- No$34 @ 58.8¢
- Yes$30 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$28 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$28 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$28 @ 9.1¢
- Yes$27 @ 9.1¢
- No$26 @ 49.9¢
- Yes$24 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 9.1¢