0xeb68…e362

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xeb68675c06e0bb9f08ba510550912d77289ce362
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.0pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

15% @ 10.8¢

Brier

0.076

Resolved

445

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	15% (265/1814)	+15%	1814
Science	13% (130/1001)	+6%	1001
Politics	15% (8/52)	-20%	52
Sports	56% (14/25)	+7%	25
Culture	11% (1/9)	-32%	9
Tech	25% (1/4)	-15%	4
Economy	25% (1/4)	+3%	4
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other1814 bets
Hit rate
15% (265/1814)
ROI
+15%
Science1001 bets
Hit rate
13% (130/1001)
ROI
+6%
Politics52 bets
Hit rate
15% (8/52)
ROI
-20%
Sports25 bets
Hit rate
56% (14/25)
ROI
+7%
Culture9 bets
Hit rate
11% (1/9)
ROI
-32%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-15%
Economy4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
+3%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

14% hit · 420/2912

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?	No	$7	15.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	$5	40.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?	No	$3	11.5¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	$58	87.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$4	14.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 1?	No	$13	88.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	$38	60.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 1?	Yes	$0	1.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?	No	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?	Yes	$1	24.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?	No	$9	25.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	$14	9.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	5.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 DR Congo?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 30?	Yes	$2	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	2.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 30?	Yes	$1	4.2¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	No	$22	81.1¢	Won
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	$10	7.6¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on July 2?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?	No	$9	85.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?	Yes	$30	23.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 30?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	$0	3.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?	Yes	$0	4.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 30?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?Won
No$7 @ 15.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?Lost
No$3 @ 11.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 30?Won
Yes$58 @ 87.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$4 @ 14.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C or higher on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 1?Won
No$13 @ 88.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Won
No$38 @ 60.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?Lost
No$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?Won
Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?Lost
No$9 @ 25.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?Won
Yes$14 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 5.1¢
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 DR Congo?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?Won
No$22 @ 81.1¢
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Lost
No$10 @ 7.6¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on July 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?Lost
No$9 @ 85.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30?Won
Yes$30 @ 23.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Lost
No$0 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 30?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on July 1?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will 160 to 189 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?	Science	No	$159	99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$49	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 44°C or higher on July 1?	—	Yes	$46	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$45	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$45	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C or below on July 1?	—	Yes	$45	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$38	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$36	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$36	9.1¢
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	Economy	No	$35	70.6¢
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Culture	No	$16	54.8¢
Will James Peck win Chopped Castaways Season 1?	Culture	No	$10	99.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 78°F or higher on July 1?	—	Yes	$7	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 1?	—	Yes	$6	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?	—	No	$6	7.0¢
Will more than 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?	Science	Yes	$5	11.1¢
Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?	Science	Yes	$5	11.1¢
Will 250 to 279 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?	Science	Yes	$5	11.1¢
Will 280 to 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?	Science	Yes	$5	11.1¢
Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?	Science	Yes	$4	11.1¢
Will 220 to 249 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?	Science	Yes	$4	11.1¢
Will annual inflation be 4.5% in June?	Economy	Yes	$4	8.3¢
Will annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?	Economy	Yes	$4	8.3¢
Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June?	Economy	Yes	$4	8.3¢
Will annual inflation be 4.6% in June?	Economy	Yes	$4	8.3¢
Will 130 to 159 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?	Science	Yes	$2	11.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?	—	No	$2	45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 1?	—	No	$1	76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$1	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on July 1?	—	Yes	$1	9.1¢

Will 160 to 189 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Science
No$159 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 1?—
Yes$49 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 44°C or higher on July 1?—
Yes$46 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on July 1?—
Yes$45 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C on July 1?—
Yes$45 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C or below on July 1?—
Yes$45 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 1?—
Yes$38 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 1?—
Yes$36 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 1?—
Yes$36 @ 9.1¢
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?Economy
No$35 @ 70.6¢
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Culture
No$16 @ 54.8¢
Will James Peck win Chopped Castaways Season 1?Culture
No$10 @ 99.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 78°F or higher on July 1?—
Yes$7 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 1?—
Yes$6 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?—
No$6 @ 7.0¢
Will more than 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Science
Yes$5 @ 11.1¢
Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Science
Yes$5 @ 11.1¢
Will 250 to 279 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Science
Yes$5 @ 11.1¢
Will 280 to 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Science
Yes$5 @ 11.1¢
Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Science
Yes$4 @ 11.1¢
Will 220 to 249 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Science
Yes$4 @ 11.1¢
Will annual inflation be 4.5% in June?Economy
Yes$4 @ 8.3¢
Will annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?Economy
Yes$4 @ 8.3¢
Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June?Economy
Yes$4 @ 8.3¢
Will annual inflation be 4.6% in June?Economy
Yes$4 @ 8.3¢
Will 130 to 159 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?Science
Yes$2 @ 11.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?—
No$2 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 1?—
No$1 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 1?—
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on July 1?—
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢