0xeae5…5978

Specialization by sphere

• Other32 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (18/32)

  ROI

  +110%

• Politics7 bets

  Hit rate

  57% (4/7)

  ROI

  +51%

• Culture2 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/2)

  ROI

  -100%

• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseWon
  Yes$22 @ 47.0¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 62.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 47.9¢
• Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Won
  Yes$27 @ 88.7¢
• Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$8 @ 4.7¢
• Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 9.6¢
• Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 30.0¢
• Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?Won
  No$6 @ 63.0¢
• Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?Won
  Yes$7 @ 67.0¢
• US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$10 @ 56.0¢
• Will turnout be between 72% and 75% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 24.0¢
• Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 15.0¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Lost
  Yes$12 @ 37.0¢
• Will David Autor win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 9.0¢
• Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?Won
  Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
• Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?Won
  Yes$45 @ 56.0¢
• Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Won
  Yes$26 @ 73.3¢
• Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Won
  No$3 @ 63.5¢
• Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Won
  No$6 @ 44.9¢
• Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Won
  No$22 @ 25.2¢
• US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?Won
  Yes$9 @ 47.0¢
• Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Won
  No$2 @ 39.0¢
• Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Won
  Yes$61 @ 78.6¢
• Will the Labour Party (PvdA) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 41.0¢
• Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 12.8¢
• US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Won
  Yes$4 @ 40.0¢
• Will GroenLinks (GL) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?Won
  Yes$2 @ 81.5¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Won
  No$21 @ 46.6¢
• Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 17.0¢
• Will another country strike Iran by March 7?Won
  No$1 @ 76.0¢
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$8 @ 35.0¢
• Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 45.1¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Won
  No$8 @ 63.0¢
• Will GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?Won
  Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
• Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Lost
  No$5 @ 50.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Won
  Yes$81 @ 47.6¢
• Will NEC win on 2026-02-21?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 24.0¢
• Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
• Will Livable Rotterdam (LR) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 58.0¢
• Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 72.9¢

Current positions

• Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 79.2¢